Author(s):
Jia, A.; Liang, S.; Wang, D.; Mallick, K.; Zhou, S.; Hu, T.; Xu, S.
Publication title: IEEE Geoscience and Remote Sensing Magazine
2024
| Volume: 12 | Issue: 4
2024
Abstract:
Land surface temperature (LST) is crucial for understanding surface energy budgets, hydrological cycling, and land-Atmosphere interactions. However, c… Land surface temperature (LST) is crucial for understanding surface energy budgets, hydrological cycling, and land-Atmosphere interactions. However, cloud cover leads to numerous data gaps in existing remote sensing thermal infrared (TIR) LST products, seriously restricting their applications. This article provides a comprehensive review concerning both LST recovery methodologies and 26 emerging all-weather products derived from polar-orbiting and geostationary (GEO) satellites. Clarifying product distinctions will enable end users to select suitable options for diverse research. Methodologies are categorized into spatiotemporal interpolation, surface energy balance (SEB)-based physical estimation, passive microwave (PMW)-based methods, and simulated temperature-based approaches. Historical research trajectories, strengths, limitations, and potential research directions of the methodologies and products are discussed. The review reports that existing all-weather LST products generally exhibit root-mean-square errors (RMSEs) of more
Author(s):
Zhou, L.; Lei, L.; Whitaker, J.S.; Tan, Z.-M.
Publication title: Monthly Weather Review
2024
| Volume: 152 | Issue: 3
2024
Abstract:
Hyperspectral infrared (IR) satellites can provide high-resolution vertical profiles of the atmospheric state, which significantly contributes to the … Hyperspectral infrared (IR) satellites can provide high-resolution vertical profiles of the atmospheric state, which significantly contributes to the forecast skill of numerical weather prediction, especially for regions with sparse observations. One challenge in assimilating the hyperspectral radiances is how to effectively extract the observation information, due to the interchannel correlations and correlated observation errors. An adaptive channel selection method is proposed, which is implemented within the data assimilation scheme and selects the radiance observation with the maximum reduction of variance in observation space. Compared to the commonly used channel selection method based on the maximum entropy reduction (ER), the adaptive method can provide flow-dependent and time-varying channel selections. The performance of the adaptive selection method is evaluated by assimilating only the synthetic Fengyun-4A (FY-4A) GIIRS IR radiances in an observing system simulation experiment (OSSE), with model resolutions from 7.5 to 1.5 km and then 300 m. For both clear-sky and all-sky conditions, the adaptive method generally produces smaller RMS errors of state variables than the ER-based method given similar amounts of assimilated radiances, especially with fine model resolutions. Moreover, the adaptive method has minimum RMS errors smaller than or approaching those with all channels assimilated. For the intensity of the tropical cyclone, the adaptive method also produces smaller errors of the minimum dry air mass and maximal wind speed at different levels, compared to the ER-based selection method. © 2024 American Meteorological Society. more
Author(s):
Gao, Y.; Xiu, Y.; Nie, Y.; Luo, H.; Yang, Q.; Zampieri, L.; Lv, X.; Uotila, P.
Publication title: Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans
2024
| Volume: 129 | Issue: 11
2024
Abstract:
In this study, the subseasonal Antarctic sea ice edge prediction skill of the Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) and Subseasonal to Seasonal (S2S… In this study, the subseasonal Antarctic sea ice edge prediction skill of the Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) and Subseasonal to Seasonal (S2S) projects was evaluated by a probabilistic metric, the spatial probability score (SPS). Both projects provide subseasonal to seasonal scale forecasts of multiple coupled dynamical systems. We found that predictions by individual dynamical systems remain skillful for up to 38 days (i.e., the ECMWF system). Regionally, dynamical systems are better at predicting the sea ice edge in the West Antarctic than in the East Antarctic. However, the seasonal variations of the prediction skill are partly system-dependent as some systems have a freezing-season bias, some had a melting-season bias, and some had a season-independent bias. Further analysis reveals that the model initialization is the crucial prerequisite for skillful subseasonal sea ice prediction. For those systems with the most realistic initialization, the model physics dictates the propagation of initialization errors and, consequently, the temporal length of predictive skill. Additionally, we found that the SPS-characterized prediction skill could be improved by increasing the ensemble size to gain a more realistic ensemble spread. Based on the C3S systems, we constructed a multi-model forecast from the above principles. This forecast consistently demonstrated a superior prediction skill compared to individual dynamical systems or statistical observation-based benchmarks. In summary, our results elucidate the most important factors (i.e., the model initialization and the model physics) affecting the currently available subseasonal Antarctic sea ice prediction systems and highlighting the opportunities to improve them significantly. © 2024 The Author(s). more
Author(s):
Chung, Eui-Seok; Soden, Brian J.; Huang, Xianglei; Shi, Lei; John, Viju O.
Publication title: Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres
2016
| Volume: 121 | Issue: 6
2016
Abstract:
We assess the consistency of the satellite-based observations of upper tropospheric water vapor (UTWV) by comparing brightness temperature measurement… We assess the consistency of the satellite-based observations of upper tropospheric water vapor (UTWV) by comparing brightness temperature measurements from the channel 12 of High-Resolution Infrared Radiation Sounder (HIRS), the 183.31 ± 1 GHz channel of Advanced Microwave Sounding Unit-B (AMSU-B)/Microwave Humidity Sounder (MHS), and spectral radiances from the Atmospheric Infrared Sounder (AIRS). All three products exhibit consistent spatial and temporal patterns of interannual variability. On decadal time scales, the spatial patterns of trends are similar between all three products; however, the amplitude of the regional trends is noticeably weaker in the HIRS measurements than in either the AMSU-B/MHS or AIRS data. This presumably reflects the greater clear-sky sampling limitations of HIRS relative to the other products. However, when averaged over tropical or near-global spatial scales, the trends between all three products are statistically indistinguishable from each other. The overall consistency between all three products provides important verification of their credibility for documenting long-term changes in UTWV. A similar analysis is performed for reanalysis-produced and model-simulated UTWV using the HIRS record as a benchmark. On decadal time scales, both reanalysis data sets and the multimodel ensemble mean have difficulty in capturing the observed moistening of climatologically dry regions of the subtropics, although the model-simulated trends are more consistent with the HIRS measurements than the reanalysis data. more
Author(s):
Okamoto, K.; Ishibashi, T.; Okabe, I.
Publication title: Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society
2023
| Volume: 149 | Issue: 755
2023
Abstract:
All-sky assimilation of infrared (IR) radiances has been developed for water vapor bands of the geostationary satellite Himawari-8 in the operational … All-sky assimilation of infrared (IR) radiances has been developed for water vapor bands of the geostationary satellite Himawari-8 in the operational global data assimilation system. Cloud-dependent quality control, bias correction, and observation error modeling are essential developments to effectively utilize the all-sky radiances (ASRs). ASR assimilation increases the assimilated number of observations by 2.8 times and improves the coverage relative to the traditional clear-sky radiance (CSR) assimilation. The additional observations better alleviate model dry biases in the middle and upper tropospheric humidity. ASR assimilation brings statistically significant improvements in the background (first guess) in humidity, temperature, and wind over the CSR assimilation. It also better improves short-range forecasts of the middle and upper tropospheric temperature and humidity up to day 3 in the Tropics. A mixed impact in the stratospheric temperature is under investigation. The impacts of various aspects of the ASR assimilation configuration are evaluated with sensitivity assimilation experiments. The interband correlation and cloud-dependent standard deviation of the observation error are crucial, whereas the cloud dependency of the correlation is not so important. Although ASRs at a single band were assimilated in many previous studies targeting severe weather using research-based regional assimilation systems due to decreasing independent information in the presence of clouds, they are distinctly inferior to not only ASRs at multiple bands but also CSRs at multiple bands in a global data assimilation system that contains fewer cloud-affected scenes. The cloud-dependent bias correction predictors are essential in the presence of observation-minus-background bias that increases with cloud effects. © 2023 Royal Meteorological Society. more
Author(s):
Baker, Jessica C. A.; de Souza, Dayana Castilho; Kubota, Paulo Y.; Buermann, Wolfgang; Coelho, Caio A. S.; Andrews, Martin B.; Gloor, Manuel; Garcia-Carreras, Luis; Figueroa, Silvio N.; Spracklen, Dominick, V
Publication title: JOURNAL OF HYDROMETEOROLOGY
2021
| Volume: 22 | Issue: 4
2021
Abstract:
In South America, land-atmosphere interactions have an important impact on climate, particularly the regional hydrological cycle, but detailed evaluat… In South America, land-atmosphere interactions have an important impact on climate, particularly the regional hydrological cycle, but detailed evaluation of these processes in global climate models has been limited. Focusing on the satellite-era period of 2003-14, we assess land-atmosphere interactions on annual to seasonal time scales over South America in satellite products, a novel reanalysis (ERA5-Land), and two global climate models: the Brazilian Global Atmospheric Model version 1.2 (BAM-1.2) and the U.K. Hadley Centre Global Environment Model version 3 (HadGEM3). We identify key features of South American land-atmosphere interactions represented in satellite and model datasets, including seasonal variation in coupling strength, large-scale spatial variation in the sensitivity of evapotranspiration to surface moisture, and a dipole in evaporative regime across the continent. Differences between products are also identified, with ERA5-Land, HadGEM3, and BAM-1.2 showing opposite interactions to satellites over parts of the Amazon and the Cerrado and stronger land-atmosphere coupling along the North Atlantic coast. Where models and satellites disagree on the strength and direction of land-atmosphere interactions, precipitation biases and misrepresentation of processes controlling surface soil moisture are implicated as likely drivers. These results show where improvement of model processes could reduce uncertainty in the modeled climate response to land-use change, and highlight where model biases could unrealistically amplify drying or wetting trends in future climate projections. Finally, HadGEM3 and BAM-1.2 are consistent with the median response of an ensemble of nine CMIP6 models, showing they are broadly representative of the latest generation of climate models. more
Author(s):
Li, H. L.; Ke, C. Q.; Shen, X. Y.; Zhu, Q. H.; Cai, Y.
Publication title: Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres
2024
| Volume: 129 | Issue: 8
2024
Abstract:
There are significant differences in snow depth predictions among different earth system models, and many models underestimate snow depth, restricting… There are significant differences in snow depth predictions among different earth system models, and many models underestimate snow depth, restricting their application. Here, major factors influencing snow depth changes in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) were identified and evaluated. Based on satellite-derived snow depth and CMIP6 data, an ensemble learning model based on multiple deep learning methods (hereafter referred to as the Multi-DL model) was developed to predict future snow depth. According to satellite observations and two Operation IceBridge products, the Multi-DL model yielded root mean square errors of 7.48, 6.20, and 6.17 cm. A continuous decrease in snow depth was observed from 2002 to 2100, and the rate of decrease accelerated with increasing emissions. Under the highest emission scenario, the first snow-free year occurred in 2047, within the same decade as the first ice-free year (2056). The predicted warm season snow depth was sensitive to sea ice velocity, sea ice concentration (siconc), precipitation, sea surface temperature (tos) and albedo, while the predicted cold season snow depth was sensitive to tos, air temperature, and siconc. The above parameters introduce some snow depth uncertainty. This method provides new ideas for predicting snow depth, and the generated snow depth records can provide data support for formulating Arctic-related policies. more
Author(s):
Bilge, Tarkan Aslan; Fournier, Nicolas; Mignac, Davi; Hume-Wright, Laura; Bertino, Laurent; Williams, Timothy; Tietsche, Steffen
Publication title: Journal of Marine Science and Engineering
2022
| Volume: 10 | Issue: 2
2022
Abstract:
In response to declining sea ice cover, human activity in the Arctic is increasing, with access to the Arctic Ocean becoming more important for socio-… In response to declining sea ice cover, human activity in the Arctic is increasing, with access to the Arctic Ocean becoming more important for socio-economic reasons. Accurate knowledge of sea ice conditions is therefore becoming increasingly important for reducing the risk and operational cost of human activities in the Arctic. Satellite-based sea ice charting is routinely used for tactical ice management, but the marine sector does not yet make optimal use of sea ice thickness (SIT) or sea ice concentration (SIC) forecasts on weekly timescales. This is because forecasts have not achieved sufficient accuracy, verification and resolution to be used in situations where maritime safety is paramount, and assessing the suitability of forecasts can be difficult because they are often not available in the appropriate format. In this paper, existing SIT forecasts currently available on the Copernicus Marine Service (CMS) or elsewhere in the public domain are evaluated for the first time. These include the seven-day forecasts from the UK Met Office, MET Norway, the Nansen Environmental and Remote Sensing Center (NERSC) and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF). Their forecast skills were assessed against unique in situ data from five moorings deployed between 2016 and 2019 by the Barents Sea Metocean and Ice Network (BASMIN) and Barents Sea Exploration Collaboration (BaSEC) Joint Industry Projects. Assessing these models highlights the importance of data assimilation in short-term forecasting of SIT and suggests that improved assimilation of sea ice data could increase the utility of forecasts for navigational purposes. This study also demonstrates that forecasts can achieve similar or improved correlation with observations when compared to a persistence model at a lead time of seven days, providing evidence that, when used in conjunction with sea ice charts, SIT forecasts could provide valuable information on future sea ice conditions. more
Author(s):
Liu, Song; Valks, Pieter; Pinardi, Gaia; Xu, Jian; Argyrouli, Athina; Lutz, Ronny; Tilstra, L. Gijsbert; Huijnen, Vincent; Hendrick, François; Van Roozendael, Michel
Publication title: Atmospheric Measurement Techniques
2020
| Volume: 13 | Issue: 2
2020
Abstract:
An improved tropospheric nitrogen dioxide (NO2) retrieval algorithm from the Global Ozone Monitoring Experiment-2 (GOME-2) instrument based on air mas… An improved tropospheric nitrogen dioxide (NO2) retrieval algorithm from the Global Ozone Monitoring Experiment-2 (GOME-2) instrument based on air mass factor (AMF) calculations performed with more realistic model parameters is presented. The viewing angle dependency of surface albedo is taken into account by improving the GOME-2 Lambertian-equivalent reflectivity (LER) climatology with a directionally dependent LER (DLER) dataset over land and an ocean surface albedo parameterisation over water. A priori NO2 profiles with higher spatial and temporal resolutions are obtained from the IFS (CB05BASCOE) chemistry transport model based on recent emission inventories. A more realistic cloud treatment is provided by a clouds-as-layers (CAL) approach, which treats the clouds as uniform layers of water droplets, instead of the current clouds-as-reflecting-boundaries (CRB) model, which assumes that the clouds are Lambertian reflectors. On average, improvements in the AMF calculation affect the tropospheric NO2 columns by ±15 % in winter and ±5 % in summer over largely polluted regions. In addition, the impact of aerosols on our tropospheric NO2 retrieval is investigated by comparing the concurrent retrievals based on ground-based aerosol measurements (explicit aerosol correction) and the aerosol-induced cloud parameters (implicit aerosol correction). Compared with the implicit aerosol correction utilising the CRB cloud parameters, the use of the CAL approach reduces the AMF errors by more than 10 %. Finally, to evaluate the improved GOME-2 tropospheric NO2 columns, a validation is performed using ground-based multi-axis differential optical absorption spectroscopy (MAXDOAS) measurements at different BIRA-IASB stations. At the suburban Xianghe station, the improved tropospheric NO2 dataset shows better agreement with coincident ground-based measurements with a correlation coefficient of 0.94. more
Author(s):
Vichi, Marcello
Publication title: CRYOSPHERE
2022
| Volume: 16 | Issue: 10
2022
Abstract:
Remote-sensing records over the last 40 years have revealed large year-to-year global and regional variability in Antarctic sea ice extent. Sea ice ar… Remote-sensing records over the last 40 years have revealed large year-to-year global and regional variability in Antarctic sea ice extent. Sea ice area and extent are useful climatic indicators of large-scale variability, but they do not allow the quantification of regions of distinct variability in sea ice concentration (SIC). This is particularly relevant in the marginal ice zone (MIZ), which is a transitional region between the open ocean and pack ice, where the exchanges between ocean, sea ice and atmosphere are more intense. The MIZ is circumpolar and broader in the Antarctic than in the Arctic. Its extent is inferred from satellite-derived SIC using the 15 %-80 % range, assumed to be indicative of open drift or partly closed sea ice conditions typical of the ice edge. This proxy has been proven effective in the Arctic, but it is deemed less reliable in the Southern Ocean, where sea ice type is unrelated to the concentration value, since wave penetration and free-drift conditions have been reported with 100 % cover. The aim of this paper is to propose an alternative indicator for detecting MIZ conditions in Antarctic sea ice, which can be used to quantify variability at the climatological scale on the ice-covered Southern Ocean over the seasons, as well as to derive maps of probability of encountering a certain degree of variability in the expected monthly SIC value. The proposed indicator is based on statistical properties of the SIC; it has been tested on the available climate data records to derive maps of the MIZ distribution over the year and compared with the threshold-based MIZ definition. The results present a revised view of the circumpolar MIZ variability and seasonal cycle, with a rapid increase in the extent and saturation in winter, as opposed to the steady increase from summer to spring reported in the literature. It also reconciles the discordant MIZ extent estimates using the SIC threshold from different algorithms. This indicator complements the use of the MIZ extent and fraction, allowing the derivation of the climatological probability of exceeding a certain threshold of SIC variability, which can be used for planning observational networks and navigation routes, as well as for detecting changes in the variability when using climatological baselines for different periods. more