Author(s):
Gu, C.; Huang, A.; Zhang, Y.; Yang, B.; Cai, S.; Xu, X.; Luo, J.; Wu, Y.
Publication title: Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres
2022
| Volume: 127 | Issue: 21
2022
Abstract:
The Regional Climate Model Version 4 (RegCM4) with the conventional plane-parallel radiative transfer scheme severely overestimates the summer precipi… The Regional Climate Model Version 4 (RegCM4) with the conventional plane-parallel radiative transfer scheme severely overestimates the summer precipitation over the Tibetan Plateau (TP) due to the excessive surface heat source, which results from the poor representation of the sub-grid terrain-related radiation processes. To realistically describe the surface sub-grid radiation process in the RegCM4, a 3-dimensional sub-grid terrain solar radiative effect (3DSTSRE) parameterization scheme is implemented into the RegCM4 to improve the original plane-parallel radiative transfer scheme. Results show that adopting the 3DSTSRE scheme in RegCM4 can significantly reduce the summer (June–August) wet bias over the TP produced by the model with the plane-parallel radiative transfer scheme. Mechanism analysis indicates that the 3DSTSRE scheme largely improves the description of the TP surface energy balance in the RegCM4 by reducing the positive bias of downward surface solar radiation (DSSR). The reduced DSSR leads to the weakened surface heat source and cooler near-surface air over the TP. Consequently, the local atmospheric circulation adapts to the temperature field as the low-level anti-cyclonic (high-level cyclonic) anomaly over the TP. The adjustment of the temperature and wind field attenuates the water vapor transport, enhances the low-level atmospheric stability, inhibits the updraft motion, and eventually reduces the rainfall over TP. Although the 3DSTSRE improves the DSSR simulation only during daytime, the precipitation simulation is also improved at nighttime, which is fundamentally attributed to the maintenance of the cooled atmosphere throughout the daytime and nighttime. © 2022. American Geophysical Union. All Rights Reserved. more
Author(s):
Himmich, K.; Vancoppenolle, M.; Stammerjohn, S.; Bocquet, M.; Madec, G.; Sallée, J.-B.; Fleury, S.
Publication title: Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans
2024
| Volume: 129 | Issue: 8
2024
Abstract:
Antarctic sea ice extent has been persistently low since late 2016, possibly owing to changes in atmospheric and oceanic conditions. However, the rela… Antarctic sea ice extent has been persistently low since late 2016, possibly owing to changes in atmospheric and oceanic conditions. However, the relative contributions of the ocean, the atmosphere and the underlying mechanisms by which they have affected sea ice remain uncertain. To investigate possible causes for this sea-ice decrease, we establish a seasonal timeline of sea ice changes following 2016, using remote sensing observations. Anomalies in the timing of sea ice retreat and advance are examined along with their spatial and interannual relations with various indicators of seasonal sea ice and oceanic changes. They include anomalies in winter ice thickness, spring ice removal rate due to ice melt and transport, and summer sea surface temperature. We find that the ice season has shortened at an unprecedented rate and magnitude, due to earlier retreat and later advance. We attribute this shortening to a winter ice thinning, in line with ice-albedo feedback processes, with ice transport playing a smaller role. Reduced ice thickness has accelerated spring ice area removal as thinner sea ice requires less time to melt. The consequent earlier sea ice retreat has in turn increased ocean solar heat uptake in summer, ultimately delaying sea ice advance. We speculate that the observed winter sea ice thinning is consistent with previous evidence of subsurface warming of the Southern Ocean. © 2024. The Author(s). more
Author(s):
Leroy, S. S.; Gleisner, H.
Publication title: Earth and Space Science
2022
| Volume: 9 | Issue: 3
2022
Abstract:
The diurnal cycle throughout the stratosphere is analyzed by applying Bayesian interpolation to Constellation Observing System for Meteorology, Ionosp… The diurnal cycle throughout the stratosphere is analyzed by applying Bayesian interpolation to Constellation Observing System for Meteorology, Ionosphere, and Climate (COSMIC) Global Positioning System radio occultation (RO) data and three scientific applications of the analysis are introduced. First, the migrating thermal tides are analyzed with unprecedented accuracy and precision, with an uncertainty in the analysis of the vertically propagating tides ranging from 0.1 in the lower stratosphere to 0.6 K in the upper stratosphere for an individual month of RO data and with an uncertainty in a 10-year climatological diurnal cycle a factor of 10 less. Moreover, the midlatitude trapped tide is found to be smaller than what is produced by an atmospheric model and lags the model in phase, a likely consequence of a faulty parameterization of eddy diffusivity in the upper stratosphere. Second, a clear signal of solar cycle influence on the diurnal cycle is evident in this analysis, but whether the cause is the systematic bias of ionospheric residual associated with RO retrieval or it is an actual atmospheric phenomenon is less clear. Third, RO satellites and missions that obtain inadequate coverage of the diurnal cycle will be biased by under-sampling it, whether or not subsampling weather forecasts is used to removal sampling error. The analysis of the diurnal cycle in COSMIC RO data can be used to diagnose the systematic sampling error incurred by incomplete coverage of the diurnal cycle, which is of the order of 0.2 K for a Metop-based RO climatology. more
Author(s):
Mendoza, V.; Pazos, M.; Garduño, R.; Mendoza, B.
Publication title: Scientific Reports
2021
| Volume: 11 | Issue: 1
2021
Abstract:
On a global and annual average, we find a parameterization in which the cloud cover increase is proportional to the mid tropospheric temperature incre… On a global and annual average, we find a parameterization in which the cloud cover increase is proportional to the mid tropospheric temperature increase, with a negative proportionality factor. If the relative humidity is conserved throughout the troposphere, a 1 °C heating (cooling) of the mid troposphere, decreases (increases) the cloud cover by 1.5 percentage points (pp). But if the relative humidity is not conserved, then the cloud cover decreases (increases) by 7.6 pp. If the shortwave reflection effect of the cloud cover is dominant on a global scale, this parameterization leads to a predominant positive feedback: if the temperature increases like in the current climate change, the cloud cover decreases and more solar radiation reaches the surface increasing the temperature even more. The contribution of the present work consists in finding that the negative sign of the proportionality factor is due to the Clausius–Clapeyron equation; that is, to the magnitude of the derivative of the saturation vapor pressure at the typical standard surface temperature of 288 K. The negative sign of the factor is independent on the conservation or non-conservation of relative humidity in the troposphere under climate change. © 2021, The Author(s). more
Author(s):
Leinonen, J.; Hamann, U.; Sideris, I.V.; Germann, U.
Publication title: Geophysical Research Letters
2023
| Volume: 50 | Issue: 8
2023
Abstract:
Predictions of thunderstorm-related hazards are needed in several sectors, including first responders, infrastructure management and aviation. To addr… Predictions of thunderstorm-related hazards are needed in several sectors, including first responders, infrastructure management and aviation. To address this need, we present a deep learning model that can be adapted to different hazard types. The model can utilize multiple data sources; we use data from weather radar, lightning detection, satellite visible/infrared imagery, numerical weather prediction and digital elevation models. We demonstrate the ability of the model to predict lightning, hail and heavy precipitation probabilistically on a 1 km resolution grid, with a temporal resolution of 5 min and lead times up to 60 min. Shapley values quantify the importance of the different data sources, showing that the weather radar products are the most important predictors for all three hazard types. © 2023 The Authors. more
Author(s):
Herrmann, Maximilian; Sihler, Holger; Friess, Udo; Wagner, Thomas; Platt, Ulrich; Gutheil, Eva
Publication title: ATMOSPHERIC CHEMISTRY AND PHYSICS
2021
| Volume: 21 | Issue: 10
2021
Abstract:
Tropospheric bromine release and ozone depletion events (ODEs) as they commonly occur in the Arctic spring are studied using a regional model based on… Tropospheric bromine release and ozone depletion events (ODEs) as they commonly occur in the Arctic spring are studied using a regional model based on the open-source software package Weather Research and Forecasting model coupled with Chemistry (WRF-Chem). For this purpose, the MOZART (Model for Ozone and Related chemical Tracers)-MOSAIC (Model for Simulating Aerosol Interactions and Chemistry) chemical reaction mechanism is extended by bromine and chlorine reactions as well as an emission mechanism for reactive bromine via heterogeneous reactions on snow surfaces. The simulation domain covers an area of 5040km x 4960km, centered north of Utqiagvik (formerly Barrow), Alaska, and the time interval from February through May 2009. Several simulations for different strengths of the bromine emission are conducted and evaluated by comparison with in situ and ozone sonde measurements of ozone mixing ratios as well as by comparison with tropospheric BrO vertical column densities (VCDs) from the Global Ozone Monitoring Experiment-2 (GOME-2) satellite instrument. The base bromine emission scheme includes the direct emission of bromine due to bromide oxidation by ozone. Results of simulations with the base emission rate agree well with the observations; however, a simulation with 50% faster emissions performs somewhat better. The bromine emission due to bromide oxidation by ozone is found to be important to provide an initial seed for the bromine explosion. Bromine release due to N2O5 was found to be important from February to mid March but irrelevant thereafter. A comparison of modeled BrO with in situ and multi-axis differential optical absorption spectroscopy (MAX-DOAS) data hints at missing bromine release and recycling mechanisms on land or near coasts. A consideration of halogen chemistry substantially improves the prediction of the ozone mixing ratio with respect to the observations. Meteorological nudging is essential for a good prediction of ODEs over the 3-month period. more
Author(s):
Marseille, G.-J.; Stoffelen, A.
Publication title: IEEE Journal of Selected Topics in Applied Earth Observations and Remote Sensing
2017
| Volume: 10 | Issue: 5
2017
Abstract:
Data assimilation (DA) experiments have been conducted with the high-resolution limited-area model HirLAM Aladin Regional Mesoscale Operational NWP In… Data assimilation (DA) experiments have been conducted with the high-resolution limited-area model HirLAM Aladin Regional Mesoscale Operational NWP In Euromed (HARMONIE), which is operational at most weather centers, which are part of the European HirLAM consortium. Recently, the assimilation of scatterometer ocean surface winds was introduced, showing limited forecast skill improvement. Possible explanations are discussed. These include model bias and the time mismatch between observation and analysis time, which introduces nonnegligible correlated errors in a three-dimensional (3-D) variational assimilation system. Also, ignoring the time mismatch increases the innovation, i.e., the observation minus background (model short-term forecast), by about 20% for scatterometer winds. The use of observations as point observations in most DA systems needs reconsideration for mesoscale DA. The introduction of observation operators, taking into account the instrument footprint, would improve the innovation by about 5% for scatterometer winds. Additional directions for improved use of observations in HARMONIE are discussed based on the notice that DA is an inherent deterministic concept. Hence, the selection of the spatial scale for deterministic DA should depend primarily on the 4-D observation coverage rather than the effective model resolution. © 2008-2012 IEEE. more
Author(s):
Boucher, E; Aires, F
Publication title: QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY
2023
| Volume: 149 | Issue: 754
2023
Abstract:
When using neural networks (NNs), the lack of input information characterizing the radiative transfer can result in regional biases, especially when r… When using neural networks (NNs), the lack of input information characterizing the radiative transfer can result in regional biases, especially when retrieving surface properties. In the Part I companion article we explored localization techniques in an attempt to help the NN adjust its behaviour to local conditions. In this article we analyze results from an image-processing approach, the novel localized convolutional NN (CNN) model for the retrieval of surface temperature (TS) over a fixed domain using infrared atmospheric sounding interferometer (IASI) observations. An in-depth evaluation is performed. The localized-CNN architecture is a promising artificial intelligence solution that provides retrievals similar to, if not better than, those of the European Organisation for the Exploitation of Meteorological Satellites' PWLR3 retrieval algorithm that also uses IASI observations, collocated with microwave data too. This shows the benefits of localizing the CNN retrieval. This image-processing retrieval scheme allows interpolation of the TS below the clouds, and thus a preliminary analysis of the cloud impact on the TS is performed. The possibility to estimate retrieval uncertainties is investigated, and a practical solution, based on the binning of the input space, is proposed for CNN architectures. The best strategy for a global-scale retrieval is yet to be found for such an image-processing scheme, but potential solutions and their respective advantages and disadvantages are discussed. more
Author(s):
Zeng, Yijian; Su, Zhongbo; Barmpadimos, Iakovos; Perrels, Adriaan; Poli, Paul; Boersma, K. Folkert; Frey, Anna; Ma, Xiaogang; de Bruin, Karianne; Goosen, Hasse; John, Viju O.; Roebeling, Rob; Schulz, Jörg; Timmermans, Wim
Publication title: Remote Sensing
2019
| Volume: 11 | Issue: 10
2019
Abstract:
Climate services are becoming the backbone to translate climate knowledge, data & information into climate-informed decision-making at all levels, fro… Climate services are becoming the backbone to translate climate knowledge, data & information into climate-informed decision-making at all levels, from public administrations to business operators. It is essential to assess the technical and scientific quality of the provided climate data and information products, including their value to users, to establish the relation of trust between providers of climate data and information and various downstream users. The climate data and information products (i.e., from satellite, in-situ and reanalysis) shall be fully traceable, adequately documented and uncertainty quantified and can provide sufficient guidance for users to address their specific needs and feedbacks. This paper discusses details on how to apply the quality assurance framework to deliver timely assessments of the quality and usability of Essential Climate Variable (ECV) products. It identifies an overarching structure for the quality assessment of single product ECVs (i.e., consists of only one single variable), multi-product ECVs (i.e., more than one single parameter), thematic products (i.e., water, energy and carbon cycles), as well as the usability assessment. To support a traceable climate service, other than rigorously evaluating the technical and scientific quality of ECV products, which represent the upstream of climate services, how the uncertainty propagates into the resulting benefit (utility) for the users of the climate service needs to be detailed. more
Author(s):
Chan, Ka Lok; Valks, Pieter; Slijkhuis, Sander; Köhler, Claas; Loyola, Diego
Publication title: Atmospheric Measurement Techniques
2020
| Volume: 13 | Issue: 8
2020
Abstract:
We present a new total column water vapor (TCWV) retrieval algorithm in the visible blue spectral band for the Global Ozone Monitoring Experience 2 (G… We present a new total column water vapor (TCWV) retrieval algorithm in the visible blue spectral band for the Global Ozone Monitoring Experience 2 (GOME-2) instruments on board the European Organisation for the Exploitation of Meteorological Satellites (EUMETSAT) Metop satellites. The blue band algorithm allows the retrieval of water vapor from sensors which do not cover longer wavelengths, such as the Ozone Monitoring Instrument (OMI) and the Copernicus atmospheric composition missions Sentinel5 Precursor (S5P), Sentinel-4 (S4) and Sentinel-5 (S5). The blue band algorithm uses the differential optical absorption spectroscopic (DOAS) technique to retrieve water vapor slant columns. The measured water vapor slant columns are converted to vertical columns using air mass factors (AMFs). The new algorithm has an iterative optimization module to dynamically find the optimal a priori water vapor profile. This makes it better suited for climate studies than usual satellite retrievals with static a priori or vertical profile information from the chemistry transport model (CTM). The dynamic a priori algorithm makes use of the fact that the vertical distribution of water vapor is strongly correlated to the total column. The new algorithm is applied to GOME2A and GOME-2B observations to retrieve TCWV. The data set is validated by comparing it to the operational product retrieved in the red spectral band, sun photometer and radiosonde measurements. Water vapor columns retrieved in the blue band are in good agreement with the other data sets, indicating that the new algorithm derives precise results and can be used for the current and forthcoming Copernicus Sentinel missions S4 and S5. more