Aspot image

Warmer oceans mean fewer reflective clouds

 

For insight into the effects of a warming climate, look to the skies

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Aspot image

A case study by EUMETSAT’s Dr Rob Roebeling and his team demonstrate how satellite data can be used confirm the effects of warmer oceans on marine stratocumulus clouds and explore what this means for our future climate.

Last Updated

16 October 2025

Published on

16 October 2025

Stratocumulus clouds cover more of the Earth’s surface than any other type of cloud, making it crucial to better understand their effects on the current and future climate. These low-lying clouds, prevalent along the oceans off the western coasts of subtropical and mid-latitude continents – think of the fog in San Francisco Bay, USA – play an important role in keeping the ocean cool by reflecting more sunlight than they trap.

Unfortunately, as the ocean warms, the stratocumulus clouds above it diminish, intensifying global warming. In their case study “Response of clouds to changes in sea surface temperatures”, EUMETSAT Climate Product Expert Dr Rob Roebeling, together with Dr Abhay Devasthale and Dr Karl-Göran Karlsson, both from the Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute, show how satellite data can be used to confirm this phenomenon.

For marine stratocumulus clouds to form and grow, conditions need to be just right: there needs to be warm air above cool ocean waters, and the tops of the clouds must be cooler than the bottom. Warming oceans throw this off kilter, inhibiting the formation and accumulation of these clouds. With fewer marine stratocumulus clouds reflecting incoming sunlight, the oceans will warm further, exacerbating the problem.

Mesoscale_cloud_patterns_SEVIRI
The variation in marine stratocumulus cloud patterns as seen in images from the Spinning Enhanced Visible and Infrared Imager instrument on board Meteosat Second Generation satellites
Credit: CM SAF

“Marine stratocumulus clouds play a very important role in the speed that climate change is taking place and sea surface temperature has a big effect on how many of these clouds there are,” said Roebeling.

“When these clouds disappear, the ocean is exposed to more sunlight and gets warmer. Then the likelihood that the clouds will come back is even less, because the process becomes almost irreversible as the temperature difference between the sea surface and the air diminishes.”

By using data from Metop and Meteosat satellites, as well as from the United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) satellites, the team confirmed that sea surface temperature across the globe has increased between 1982 and 2018. They then assessed the effect of a change in sea surface temperature on cloud cover for the same period of time and found that for each degree Celsius of ocean warming, marine stratocumulus cloud cover in some regions may have decreased by more than 2%.

As marine stratocumulus clouds continue to diminish due to increasing sea surface temperature as well other factors, such as decreasing sulfur emissions from shipping, it is essential to continue to monitor these clouds using satellite instruments.

“New instruments on EUMETSAT’s next-generation satellites are incredibly helpful in providing more and better data,” said Roebeling. “The measurements from these new missions are higher resolution and more precise, making it possible to better quantify phenomena such as marine stratocumulus cloud cover, and be able to more precisely identify where changes are occurring.

“As older satellites have reached the end of their lifetimes, it is important that new satellites replace them. This way, we continue to build an uninterrupted time series of measurements.

“This is why instruments such as the Sea and Land Surface Temperature Radiometer on the Copernicus Sentinel-3 satellites as well as new instruments on EUMETSAT’s next-generation satellites such as METimage on Metop Second Generation A are so essential – to monitor the climate, we need reliable, precise measurements over a long time span.”

Roebeling hopes data from these satellites will ultimately empower policy makers and others to implement meaningful strategies to diminish global warming.  

"It is important to keep monitoring climate change and to track changes as accurately as possible,” he said. “Only then can we diagnose the problems and take action.”

Author:

Sarah Puschmann