Author(s):
Eyre, J.R.; Bell, W.; Cotton, J.; English, S.J.; Forsythe, M.; Healy, S.B.; Pavelin, E.G.
Publication title: Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society
2022
| Volume: 148 | Issue: 743
2022
Abstract:
Developments in the assimilation of satellite data in numerical weather prediction (NWP), from the first experiments in the late 1960s to the present … Developments in the assimilation of satellite data in numerical weather prediction (NWP), from the first experiments in the late 1960s to the present day, are presented in a two-part review article. This part, Part II, reviews the progress in recent years, from about 2000. It includes summaries of advances in the relevant satellite remote-sensing technologies and in methods to assimilate observations from these instruments into NWP systems. It also summarises impacts on forecast skill. Continued progress has been made on the assimilation of passive infrared (IR) sounding data and microwave (MW) sounding and imaging data. This has included data from hyperspectral IR sounders, which first became available during this period. Advances in the use of cloud-affected radiances, from both IR and MW instruments, have been made. In support of this progress, further developments have been made in fast radiative transfer models and in bias correction techniques, and work has continued to improve understanding and representation of observation uncertainties. Continued progress has also been made on the use of wind information from satellites, including atmospheric motion vectors and scatterometer data. A new source of temperature and humidity information, from radio occultation observations, has become available during the period and has been exploited by many NWP centres. The impact of satellite data on NWP accuracy is continually assessed using a range of methods and metrics. Some results from recent Observing System Experiments (OSEs) and Forecast Sensitivity to Observation Impact (FSOI) assessment are presented and other methods are discussed. The role of satellite data in NWP-based atmospheric reanalysis systems is also described. © 2021 Crown copyright. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society © 2021 Royal Meteorological Society. This article is published with the permission of the Controller of HMSO and the Queen's Printer for Scotland. more
Author(s):
Qiu, Xianfei; Zhao, Huijie; Jia, Guorui; Li, Jiyuan
Publication title: Remote Sensing
2022
| Volume: 14 | Issue: 9
2022
Abstract:
Realistic modeling of high-resolution earth radiation signals in the visible-thermal spectral domain remains difficult, due to the complex radiation i… Realistic modeling of high-resolution earth radiation signals in the visible-thermal spectral domain remains difficult, due to the complex radiation interdependence induced by the heterogeneous and rugged features of land surface. To find the trade-off between accuracy and efficiency for image simulation, this paper established a unified simulation framework for the entire visible-thermal spectral domain, based on the energy balance between solar-reflected and thermal radiation components over rugged surfaces. Considering the joint contributions of atmospheric and topographic adjacency effects, three spatial–spectral convolution kernels were uniformly designed to quantify the topographic irradiance, the trapping effect, and the atmospheric adjacency effect. Radiation signal simulation was implemented in three forms: land surface temperature (LST), bottom of atmosphere (BOA) radiance, and top of atmosphere (TOA) radiance. The accuracy was validated with onboard data from China’s Gaofen-5 visual and infrared multispectral sensor (VIMS) over rugged desert. The simulation results demonstrate that the root mean square of relative deviations between the simulated and onboard TOA radiance are related to terrain, as 3–17% and 6–38% for the summer and winter scene, respectively. The evaluation of radiance components indicates the utility of the simulation framework to quantify the uncertainty associated with atmosphere and terrain coupling effects, in the sensor design and operation stages. more
Author(s):
Liefhebber, Freek; Lammens, Sarah; Brussee, Paul W. G.; Bos, André; John, Viju O.; Rüthrich, Frank; Onderwaater, Jacobus; Grant, Michael G.; Schulz, Jörg
Publication title: Atmospheric Measurement Techniques
2020
| Volume: 13 | Issue: 3
2020
Abstract:
Abstract. Now that the Earth has been monitored by satellites for more than 40 years, Earth observation images can be used to study how the Earth syst… Abstract. Now that the Earth has been monitored by satellites for more than 40 years, Earth observation images can be used to study how the Earth system behaves over extended periods. Such long-term studies require the combination of data from multiple instruments, with the earliest datasets being of particular importance in establishing a baseline for trend analysis. As the quality of these earlier datasets is often lower, careful quality control is essential, but the sheer size of these image sets makes an inspection by hand impracticable. Therefore, one needs to resort to automatic methods to inspect these Earth observation images for anomalies. In this paper, we describe the design of a system that performs an automatic anomaly analysis on Earth observation images, in particular the Meteosat First Generation measurements. The design of this system is based on a preliminary analysis of the typical anomalies that can be found in the dataset. This preliminary analysis was conducted by hand on a representative subset and resulted in a finite list of anomalies that needed to be detected in the whole dataset. The automated anomaly detection system employs a dedicated detection algorithm for each of these anomalies. The result is a system with a high probability of detection and low false alarm rate. Furthermore, most of these algorithms are able to pinpoint the anomalies to the specific pixels affected in the image, allowing the maximum use of the data available. more
Author(s):
Azimi, Shima; Dariane, Alireza B.; Modanesi, Sara; Bauer-Marschallinger, Bernhard; Bindlish, Rajat; Wagner, Wolfgang; Massari, Christian
Publication title: Journal of Hydrology
2020
| Volume: 581
2020
Abstract:
In runoff generation process, soil moisture plays an important role as it controls the magnitude of the flood events in response to the rainfall input… In runoff generation process, soil moisture plays an important role as it controls the magnitude of the flood events in response to the rainfall inputs. In this study, we investigated the ability of a new era of satellite soil moisture retrievals to improve the Soil & Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) daily discharge simulations via soil moisture data assimilation for two small ( more
Author(s):
Röhrs, J.; Gusdal, Y.; Rikardsen, E.S.U.; Durán Moro, M.; Brændshøi, J.; Kristensen, N.M.; Fritzner, S.; Wang, K.; Sperrevik, A.K.; Idžanović, M.; Lavergne, T.; Debernard, J.B.; Christensen, K.H.
Publication title: Geoscientific Model Development
2023
| Volume: 16 | Issue: 18
2023
Abstract:
An operational ocean and sea ice forecast model, Barents-2.5, is implemented for short-term forecasting at the coast off northern Norway, the Barents … An operational ocean and sea ice forecast model, Barents-2.5, is implemented for short-term forecasting at the coast off northern Norway, the Barents Sea, and the waters around Svalbard. Primary forecast parameters are sea ice concentration (SIC), sea surface temperature (SST), and ocean currents. The model also provides input data for drift modeling of pollutants, icebergs, and search-and-rescue applications in the Arctic domain. Barents-2.5 has recently been upgraded to include an ensemble prediction system with 24 daily realizations of the model state. SIC, SST, and in situ hydrography are constrained through the ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) data assimilation scheme executed in daily forecast cycles with a lead time up to 66gh. Here, we present the model setup and validation in terms of SIC, SST, in situ hydrography, and ocean and ice velocities. In addition to the model's forecast capabilities for SIC and SST, the performance of the ensemble in representing the model's uncertainty and the performance of the EnKF in constraining the model state are discussed. © 2023 Johannes Röhrs et al. more
Author(s):
Mayer, J.; Bugliaro, L.; Mayer, B.; Piontek, D.; Voigt, C.
Publication title: Atmospheric Measurement Techniques
2024
| Volume: 17 | Issue: 13
2024
Abstract:
A comprehensive understanding of the cloud thermodynamic phase is crucial for assessing the cloud radiative effect and is a prerequisite for remote se… A comprehensive understanding of the cloud thermodynamic phase is crucial for assessing the cloud radiative effect and is a prerequisite for remote sensing retrievals of microphysical cloud properties. While previous algorithms mainly detected ice and liquid phases, there is now a growing awareness for the need to further distinguish between warm liquid, supercooled and mixed-phase clouds. To address this need, we introduce a novel method named ProPS (PRObabilistic cloud top Phase retrieval for SEVIRI), which enables cloud detection and the determination of cloud-top phase using SEVIRI (Spinning Enhanced Visible and Infrared Imager), the geostationary passive imager aboard Meteosat Second Generation. ProPS discriminates between clear sky, optically thin ice (TI) cloud, optically thick ice (IC) cloud, mixed-phase (MP) cloud, supercooled liquid (SC) cloud and warm liquid (LQ) cloud. Our method uses a Bayesian approach based on the cloud mask and cloud phase from the lidar-radar cloud product DARDAR (liDAR/raDAR). The validation of ProPS using 6 months of independent DARDAR data shows promising results: the daytime algorithm successfully detects 93% of clouds and 86% of clear-sky pixels. In addition, for phase determination, ProPS accurately classifies 91% of IC, 78% of TI, 52% of MP, 58% of SC and 86% of LQ clouds, providing a significant improvement in accurate cloud-top phase discrimination compared to traditional retrieval methods. © Copyright: more
Author(s):
Su, Chun-Hsu; Eizenberg, Nathan; Steinle, Peter; Jakob, Dörte; Fox-Hughes, Paul; White, Christopher J.; Rennie, Susan; Franklin, Charmaine; Dharssi, Imtiaz; Zhu, Hongyan
Publication title: Geoscientific Model Development
2019
| Volume: 12 | Issue: 5
2019
Abstract:
Abstract. The Bureau of Meteorology Atmospheric high-resolution Regional Reanalysis for Australia (BARRA) is the first atmospheric regional reanalysis… Abstract. The Bureau of Meteorology Atmospheric high-resolution Regional Reanalysis for Australia (BARRA) is the first atmospheric regional reanalysis over a large region covering Australia, New Zealand, and Southeast Asia. The production of the reanalysis with approximately 12 km horizontal resolution – BARRA-R – is well underway with completion expected in 2019. This paper describes the numerical weather forecast model, the data assimilation methods, the forcing and observational data used to produce BARRA-R, and analyses results from the 2003–2016 reanalysis. BARRA-R provides a realistic depiction of the meteorology at and near the surface over land as diagnosed by temperature, wind speed, surface pressure, and precipitation. Comparing against the global reanalyses ERA-Interim and MERRA-2, BARRA-R scores lower root mean square errors when evaluated against (point-scale) 2 m temperature, 10 m wind speed, and surface pressure observations. It also shows reduced biases in daily 2 m temperature maximum and minimum at 5 km resolution and a higher frequency of very heavy precipitation days at 5 and 25 km resolution when compared to gridded satellite and gauge analyses. Some issues with BARRA-R are also identified: biases in 10 m wind, lower precipitation than observed over the tropical oceans, and higher precipitation over regions with higher elevations in south Asia and New Zealand. Some of these issues could be improved through dynamical downscaling of BARRA-R fields using convective-scale ( more
Author(s):
Bulgin, Claire E.; Embury, Owen; Maidment, Ross I.; Merchant, Christopher J.
Publication title: Remote Sensing
2022
| Volume: 14 | Issue: 9
2022
Abstract:
Cloud detection is a necessary step in the generation of land surface temperature (LST) climate data records (CDRs) and affects data quality and uncer… Cloud detection is a necessary step in the generation of land surface temperature (LST) climate data records (CDRs) and affects data quality and uncertainty. We present here a sensor-independent Bayesian cloud detection algorithm and show that it is suitable for use in the production of LST CDRs. We evaluate the performance of the cloud detection with reference to two manually masked datasets for the Advanced Along-Track Scanning Radiometer (AATSR) and find a 7.9% increase in the hit rate and 4.9% decrease in the false alarm rate when compared to the operational cloud mask. We then apply the algorithm to four instruments aboard polar-orbiting satellites, which together can produce a global, 25-year LST CDR: the second Along-Track Scanning Radiometer (ATSR-2), AATSR, the Moderate Resolution Spectroradiometer (MODIS Terra) and the Sea and Land Surface Temperature Radiometer (SLSTR-A). The Bayesian cloud detection hit rate is assessed with respect to in situ ceilometer measurements for periods of overlap between sensors. The consistency of the hit rate is assessed between sensors, with mean differences in the cloud hit rate of 4.5% for ATSR-2 vs. AATSR, 4.9% for AATSR vs. MODIS, and 2.5% for MODIS vs. SLSTR-A. This is important because consistent cloud detection performance is needed for the observational stability of a CDR. The application of a sensor-independent cloud detection scheme in the production of CDRs is thus shown to be a viable approach to achieving LST observational stability over time. more
Author(s):
Nygard Riise, Heine; Moe Nygård, Magnus; Lupton Aarseth, Bjørn; Dobler, Andreas; Berge, Erik
Publication title: Solar Energy
2024
| Volume: 282
2024
Abstract:
Estimated solar irradiances from CAMS, PVGIS SARAH-2, Solargis, Meteonorm, PVGIS ERA5, and NASA POWER are benchmarked against measurements conducted a… Estimated solar irradiances from CAMS, PVGIS SARAH-2, Solargis, Meteonorm, PVGIS ERA5, and NASA POWER are benchmarked against measurements conducted at 34 ground stations in Norway at latitudes between 58 and 76°N. We find that the data products that mainly rely on high-resolution, geostationary satellite images, i.e., CAMS, PVGIS SARAH-2, and Solargis, have higher accuracy with lower relative Mean Absolute Error (rMAE) and relative Mean Bias Error. By dividing the stations in distinct categories, such as above 65°N, snow-affected and horizon-shaded, challenges with irradiance estimation that are common in Norway and at high latitudes in general are highlighted and discussed. The accuracy of the data products is dependent on latitude, and by excluding stations above 65°N, the median rMAE of the different data products improves 3.2 – 9.4 %abs compared to the median rMAE when including all stations, depending on data product. Similarly, by excluding snow-affected stations, the median rMAE improves 1.9 – 8.1 %abs, depending on data product. The improvement in rMAE by excluding snow-affected stations is partially related to the difficulty of separating snow on the ground from cloud cover in satellite images. This difficulty is illustrated by concrete examples of irradiance time series from clear sky days when the ground is covered in snow. Although the performance of the data products is dependent on the categorization of stations, i.e., latitude, snow conditions, and local topography, the relative performance between the products is maintained regardless of sub-division. more
Author(s):
Lind, P.; Belušić, D.; Christensen, O.B.; Dobler, A.; Kjellström, E.; Landgren, O.; Lindstedt, D.; Matte, D.; Pedersen, R.A.; Toivonen, E.; Wang, F.
Publication title: Climate Dynamics
2020
| Volume: 55 | Issue: 7-8
2020
Abstract:
Convection-permitting climate models have shown superior performance in simulating important aspects of the precipitation climate including extremes a… Convection-permitting climate models have shown superior performance in simulating important aspects of the precipitation climate including extremes and also to give partly different climate change signals compared to coarser-scale models. Here, we present the first long-term (1998–2018) simulation with a regional convection-permitting climate model for Fenno-Scandinavia. We use the HARMONIE-Climate (HCLIM) model on two nested grids; one covering Europe at 12 km resolution (HCLIM12) using parameterized convection, and one covering Fenno-Scandinavia with 3 km resolution (HCLIM3) with explicit deep convection. HCLIM12 uses lateral boundaries from ERA-Interim reanalysis. Model results are evaluated against reanalysis and various observational data sets, some at high resolutions. HCLIM3 strongly improves the representation of precipitation compared to HCLIM12, most evident through reduced “drizzle” and increased occurrence of higher intensity events as well as improved timing and amplitude of the diurnal cycle. This is the case even though the model exhibits a cold bias in near-surface temperature, particularly for daily maximum temperatures in summer. Simulated winter precipitation is biased high, primarily over complex terrain. Considerable undercatchment in observations may partly explain the wet bias. Examining instead the relative occurrence of snowfall versus rain, which is sensitive to variance in topographic heights it is shown that HCLIM3 provides added value compared to HCLIM12 also for winter precipitation. These results, indicating clear benefits of convection-permitting models, are encouraging motivating further exploration of added value in this region, and provide a valuable basis for impact studies. © 2020, The Author(s). more