Author(s):
de Steur, Laura; Sumata, Hiroshi; Divine, Dmitry V.; Granskog, Mats A.; Pavlova, Olga
Publication title: Communications Earth & Environment
2023
| Volume: 4 | Issue: 1
2023
Abstract:
The sea ice extent and sea ice thickness in the Arctic Ocean have declined consistently in the last decades. The loss of sea ice as well as warmer inf… The sea ice extent and sea ice thickness in the Arctic Ocean have declined consistently in the last decades. The loss of sea ice as well as warmer inflowing Atlantic Water have major consequences for the Arctic Ocean heat content and the watermasses flowing out from the Arctic. Sustained observations from ocean moorings show that the upper ocean temperature across the Arctic outflow with the East Greenland Current in the Fram Strait has increased significantly between 2003 and 2019. Polar Water contains more heat in summer due to lower sea ice concentration and longer periods of open water upstream. Warm returning Atlantic Water has a greater presence in the central Fram Strait in winter since 2015, impacting winter sea ice thickness and extent. Combined, these processes result in a reduced sea ice cover downstream along the whole east coast of Greenland with inevitable consequences for winter-time ocean convection and ecosystem functioning. more
Author(s):
Lean, K.; Bormann, N.
Publication title: Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology
2023
| Volume: 62 | Issue: 3
2023
Abstract:
This paper investigates the use of model cloud information in the assimilation of low-level atmospheric motion vectors (AMVs) in the ECMWF global data… This paper investigates the use of model cloud information in the assimilation of low-level atmospheric motion vectors (AMVs) in the ECMWF global data assimilation system, with the aim to characterize and address issues encountered in the assimilation of these observations. An analysis of background departure statistics (comparison of observations with the model background) shows that AMVs placed above the model cloud show larger deviations from the model background relative to those placed unrealistically close to the surface. Reassigning the pressure of AMVs diagnosed above the model cloud layer to either the model cloud top, cloud base, or average pressure leads to improvements in rootmean-square vector difference (RMSVD) and speed bias against the background wind fields. In assimilation experiments, reassigning AMVs placed above the model cloud to the model cloud top, cloud base, or average pressure results overall in a positive impact on subsequent forecasts. The reassignment to an average model cloud pressure performs best in this respect, and this approach has been implemented in the operational ECMWF system in October 2021. © 2023 American Meteorological Society. more
Author(s):
Reitz, O.; Graf, A.; Schmidt, M.; Ketzler, G.; Leuchner, M.
Publication title: Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences
2021
| Volume: 126 | Issue: 2
2021
Abstract:
This paper discusses different feature selection methods and CO2 flux data sets with a varying quality-quantity balance for the application of a Rando… This paper discusses different feature selection methods and CO2 flux data sets with a varying quality-quantity balance for the application of a Random Forest model to predict daily CO2 fluxes at 250 m spatial resolution for the Rur catchment area in western Germany between 2010 and 2018. Measurements from eddy covariance stations of different ecosystem types, remotely sensed vegetation data from MODIS, and COSMO-REA6 reanalysis data were used to train the model and predictions were validated by a spatial and temporal validation scheme. Results show the capabilities of a backwards feature elimination to remove irrelevant variables and an importance of high-quality-low-quantity flux data set to improve predictions. However, results also show that spatial prediction is more difficult than temporal prediction by reflecting the mean value accurately though underestimating the variance of CO2 fluxes. Vegetated parts of the catchment acted as a CO2 sink during the investigation period, net capturing about 237 g C m−2 y−1. Croplands, coniferous forests, deciduous forests and grasslands were all sinks on average. The highest uptake was predicted to occur in late spring and early summer, while the catchment was a CO2 source in fall and winter. In conclusion, the Random Forest model predicted a narrower distribution of CO2 fluxes, though our methodological improvements look promising in order to achieve high-resolution net ecosystem exchange data sets at the regional scale. © 2020. The Authors. more
Author(s):
Saint, C.; Beckett, F.M.; Dioguardi, F.; Kristiansen, N.; Tubbs, R.N.
Publication title: Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres
2024
| Volume: 129 | Issue: 23
2024
Abstract:
Volcanic Ash Advisory Centers (VAACs) have generated volcanic ash forecasts for the aviation industry since the mid-1990s. The excellent spatial and t… Volcanic Ash Advisory Centers (VAACs) have generated volcanic ash forecasts for the aviation industry since the mid-1990s. The excellent spatial and temporal coverage of satellite data makes them critical to the validation of ash dispersion model forecasts. This study investigates the limitations of satellite-retrieved volcanic ash data through the production of simulated radiances for a range of ash cloud properties encompassing the satellite retrieval's sensitivity. We run a detection and retrieval algorithm (Francis et al., 2012, https://doi.org/10.1029/2011JD016788) on these simulated ash clouds and assess the sensitivity and performance of the algorithms. Expected limitations are highlighted, including a lack of sensitivity to particles larger than ∼10 μm in radius and challenges in accurately retrieving heights in the stratosphere. However, other previously poorly defined limitations are also constrained, such as the reduction in sensitivity as ash column loading increases in optically thick ash clouds and increasingly underestimated column loading when column loadings are >∼7 g m−2. We consider the implications of the identified limitations when using satellite-retrieved ash column loadings to verify dispersion model output. We show that, accounting for the limitations of the satellite retrieval, a significant proportion of mass in the model output can lie outside the sensitivity range of the satellite detection and retrieval. This demonstrates the importance of understanding observations' limitations when comparing to model output. This knowledge should be used when verifying operational volcanic ash cloud forecasts. © 2024 Crown copyright and British Geological Survey (C) UKRI. This article is published with the permission of the Controller of HMSO and the King's Printer for Scotland. more
Author(s):
Hall, T.W.; Blunn, L.; Grimmond, S.; McCarroll, N.; Merchant, C.J.; Morrison, W.; Shonk, J.K.P.; Lean, H.; Best, M.
Publication title: Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society
2024
| Volume: 150 | Issue: 760
2024
Abstract:
Progress in high-resolution numerical weather prediction (NWP) for urban areas will require new modelling approaches and extensive evaluation. Here, w… Progress in high-resolution numerical weather prediction (NWP) for urban areas will require new modelling approaches and extensive evaluation. Here, we exploit land surface temperature (LST) data from Landsat-8 to assess 100 m resolution NWP for London (UK) on four cloud-free days. The LST observations are directional radiometric temperatures with non-negligible uncertainties. We consider the challenges of informative comparison between the Landsat LST and the NWP scheme's internal characterisation of the complete surface temperature. The LST spatial coverage allows large-scale observation–model differences to be explored. In one case, obvious spatial artifacts in the NWP surface temperature are observed relative to the Landsat LST. These are found to be related to the NWP's initial method of downscaling of soil moisture using soil properties. Updated model runs have higher spatial correlation between model and Landsat LST. In cases where meteorological conditions favour the formation of horizontal convective rolls, warmer air temperatures associated with updraughts in the mixed layer extend inappropriately to the urban surface. This manifests as warm stripes in the model surface temperature that are not present in the Landsat LST. NWP–Landsat LST differences are larger in more built-up areas on days nearer summer solstice. This is largely attributed to urban thermal anisotropy, as Landsat preferentially views warmer urban surfaces, whereas the model LST represents all surfaces. We evaluate two approaches to quantify this sampling effect, but further work is needed to fully constrain it and facilitate more informative model evaluation. © 2024 Crown copyright and The Authors. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of Royal Meteorological Society. This article is published with the permission of the Controller of HMSO and the King's Printer for Scotland. more
Author(s):
Zhran, Mohamed; Mousa, Ashraf; Rabah, Mostafa; Zeidan, Zaki
Publication title: NRIAG Journal of Astronomy and Geophysics
2019
| Volume: 8 | Issue: 1
2019
Abstract:
Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) Radio Occultation (RO) is an active limb sounding technique, where GNSS satellites transmitted signals passi… Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) Radio Occultation (RO) is an active limb sounding technique, where GNSS satellites transmitted signals passing through the atmosphere of the Earth and received by a GNSS receiver on low earth orbiter (LEO) satellite. RO provides accurate atmospheric refractivity profile. RO technique has been widely used to study the atmosphere of planets. This paper investigates the use of GNSS RO for tropopause height (TPH) estimation as one of the key climate parameters over Egypt. TPH is also very important in determining the wet delay in GNSS analysis. Two years (2016 and 2017) of MetOP A and B satellites data are used. ROPP software package is used in the analysis. For validation of the results, RO-derived TPH is compared with European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecast (ECMWF) model as well as radiosonde (RS). Good agreement and high correlation are found between TPH from RO and ECMWF and RS on the other hand. TPH varies between 14 and 16 km over Egypt. It decreases with latitude and shows no clear trend with longitude. Tropopause temperature is found to increase with latitude. more
Author(s):
Lamy, Kevin; Portafaix, Thierry; Brogniez, Colette; Lakkala, Kaisa; Pitkänen, Mikko R. A.; Arola, Antti; Forestier, Jean-Baptiste; Amelie, Vincent; Toihir, Mohamed Abdoulwahab; Rakotoniaina, Solofoarisoa
Publication title: Earth System Science Data
2021
| Volume: 13 | Issue: 9
2021
Abstract:
Abstract. Within the framework of the UV-Indien network, nine ground stations have been equipped with ultraviolet broadband radiometers, five of them … Abstract. Within the framework of the UV-Indien network, nine ground stations have been equipped with ultraviolet broadband radiometers, five of them have also been equipped with an all-sky camera, and the main station in Saint-Denis de la Réunion is also equipped with a spectroradiometer. These stations are spatially distributed to cover a wide range of latitudes, longitudes, altitudes, and environmental conditions in five countries of the western Indian Ocean region (Comoros, France, Madagascar, Mauritius, and Seychelles), a part of the world where almost no measurements have been made so far. The distribution of the stations is based on the scientific interest of studying ultraviolet radiation not only in relation to atmospheric processes but also in order to provide data relevant to fields such as biology, health (prevention of skin cancer), and agriculture. The main scientific objectives of this network are to study the annual and inter-annual variability in the ultraviolet (UV) radiation in this area, to validate the output of numerical models and satellite estimates of ground-based UV measurements, and to monitor UV radiation in the context of climate change and projected ozone depletion in this region. A calibration procedure including three types of calibrations responding to the various constraints of sustaining the network has been put in place, and a data processing chain has been set up to control the quality and the format of the files sent to the various data centres. A method of clear-sky filtering of the data is also applied. Here, we present an intercomparison with other datasets, as well as several daily or monthly representations of the UV index (UVI) and cloud fraction data, to discuss the quality of the data and their range of values for the older stations (Antananarivo, Anse Quitor, Mahé, and Saint-Denis). Ground-based measurements of the UVI are used to validate satellite estimates – Ozone Monitoring Instrument (OMI), the TROPOspheric Monitoring Instrument (TROPOMI), and the Global Ozone Monitoring Experiment (GOME) – and model forecasts of UVI – Tropospheric Emission Monitoring Internet Service (TEMIS) and Copernicus Atmospheric Monitoring Service (CAMS). The median relative differences between satellite or model estimates and ground-based measurements of clear-sky UVI range between −34.5 % and 15.8 %. Under clear skies, the smallest UVI median difference between the satellite or model estimates and the measurements made by ground-based instruments is found to be 0.02 (TROPOMI), 0.04 (OMI), −0.1 (CAMS), and −0.4 (CAMS) at Saint-Denis, Antananarivo, Anse Quitor, and Mahé, respectively. The diurnal variability in UVI and cloud fraction, as well as the monthly variability in UVI, is evaluated to ensure the quality of the dataset. The data used in this study are available at https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.4811488 (Lamy and Portafaix, 2021a). more
Author(s):
Anderson, Craig; Figa-Saldana, Julia; Wilson, John Julian William; Ticconi, Francesca
Publication title: IEEE Journal of Selected Topics in Applied Earth Observations and Remote Sensing
2017
| Volume: 10 | Issue: 5
2017
Abstract:
The advanced scatterometer (ASCAT) is a fan beam scatterometer carried on board the Metop series of satellites. Its primary objective is to measure oc… The advanced scatterometer (ASCAT) is a fan beam scatterometer carried on board the Metop series of satellites. Its primary objective is to measure ocean backscatter for the retrieval of ocean wind vectors. Two ASCAT instruments (ASCAT-A and ASCAT-B) are operational and are independently calibrated using a number of ground-based transponders. The first seven years of data from ASCAT-A have recently been processed into a climate data record. This paper describes a number of methods for cross-validating the data from the two instruments and for assessing the quality and stability of the climate data record. The methods are based on backscatter from the Amazon rainforest, mean backscatter from the open ocean, comparison of measured and modeled ocean backscatter, and ocean cone metrics. These methods show that the climate data record, which covers the period January 2007 to March 2014, has a very high stability (with trends around 0.005 dB per year), good absolute and relative calibration (better than 0.1 dB), and a good across swath calibration (peak to peak variation of less than 0.1 dB). For operational data covering the period April 2015 to March 2016, the methods indicate that ASCAT-B backscatter is around 0.1-0.2 dB higher than ASCAT-A (depending on which beam is considered). This difference is due to a combination of factors: minor changes in calibration algorithms, a minor change in the behavior of the ASCAT-A internal calibration system, and the strategy used to update calibration files in the processing system. more
Author(s):
Sanchez-Lorenzo, A.; Wild, M.; Trentmann, J.
Publication title: Remote Sensing of Environment
2013
| Volume: 134
2013
Abstract:
This work presents a validation of the downwelling surface shortwave radiation, or surface solar radiation (SSR), derived from the Satellite Applicati… This work presents a validation of the downwelling surface shortwave radiation, or surface solar radiation (SSR), derived from the Satellite Application Facility on Climate Monitoring (CM SAF) over Europe for a 23-year period of records on a monthly basis. This SSR product has been recently derived based on the visible channel of the Meteosat First Generation satellites, providing a dataset with a high spatial resolution (0.03° × 0.03°) covering the 1983–2005 period. The CM SAF SSR product is compared against a homogeneous dataset of surface observations from the Global Energy Balance Archive (GEBA) over Europe, which has been homogenized by means of the Standard Normal Homogeneity Test (SNHT). The results show a good agreement between both datasets (r2 = 0.86, p < 0.01), with a slight overestimation (bias of + 5.20 W m− 2) of the CM SAF records as compared to the surface observations on a monthly mean basis. Equally, there is a monthly mean absolute bias difference (MABD) of 8.19 W m− 2 that is below the accuracy threshold defined by the CM SAF. There is a clear maximum and minimum MABD during summer and winter, respectively, with an opposite cycle if the relative MABD values are considered. Moreover, the temporal stability of the CM SAF SSR is checked against the GEBA stations for the mean time series over Europe, as well as for each individual series. The results point to possible inhomogeneities in the CM SAF records around 1987 and 1994, possibly due to changes in the satellite instruments, although other factors such as the lack of aerosol retrievals in the CM SAF SSR are also discussed. Consequently, the study of the means and trends in the SSR derived from CM SAF is only recommended for the records after 1994. more
Author(s):
Wang, Yawen; Trentmann, Jörg; Yuan, Wenping; Wild, Martin
Publication title: Remote Sensing
2018
| Volume: 10 | Issue: 12
2018
Abstract:
To achieve high-quality surface solar radiation (SSR) data for climate monitoring and analysis, the two satellite-derived monthly SSR datasets of CM S… To achieve high-quality surface solar radiation (SSR) data for climate monitoring and analysis, the two satellite-derived monthly SSR datasets of CM SAF CLARA-A2 and SARAH-E have been validated against a homogenized ground-based dataset covering 59 stations across China for 1993–2015 and 1999–2015, respectively. The satellite products overestimate surface solar irradiance by 10.0 W m−2 in CLARA-A2 and 7.5 W m−2 in SARAH-E on average. A strong urbanization effect has been noted behind the large positive bias in China. The bias decreased after 2004, possibly linked to a weakened attenuating effect of aerosols on radiation in China. Both satellite datasets can reproduce the monthly anomalies of SSR, indicated by a significant correlation around 0.8. Due to the neglection of temporal aerosol variability in the satellite algorithms, the discrepancy between the satellite-estimated and ground-observed SSR trends slightly increases in 1999–2015 as compared to 1993–2015. The seasonal performance of the satellite products shows a better accuracy during warm than cold seasons. With respect to the spatial performance, the effects from anthropogenic aerosols, dust aerosols and high elevation and snow-covered surfaces should be well considered in the satellite SSR retrievals to further improve the performance in the eastern, northwestern and southwestern parts of China, respectively. more