Author(s):
Møller, E.F.; Christensen, A.; Larsen, J.; Mankoff, K.D.; Ribergaard, M.H.; Sejr, M.; Wallhead, P.; Maar, M.
Publication title: Ocean Science
2023
| Volume: 19 | Issue: 2
2023
Abstract:
The Greenland ice sheet is melting, and the rate of ice loss has increased 6-fold since the 1980s. At the same time, the Arctic sea ice extent is decr… The Greenland ice sheet is melting, and the rate of ice loss has increased 6-fold since the 1980s. At the same time, the Arctic sea ice extent is decreasing. Meltwater runoff and sea ice reduction both influence light and nutrient availability in the coastal ocean, with implications for the timing, distribution, and magnitude of phytoplankton production. However, the integrated effect of both glacial and sea ice melt is highly variable in time and space, making it challenging to quantify. In this study, we evaluate the relative importance of these processes for the primary productivity of Disko Bay, west Greenland, one of the most important areas for biodiversity and fisheries around Greenland. We use a high-resolution 3D coupled hydrodynamic-biogeochemical model for 2004-2018 validated against in situ observations and remote sensing products. The model-estimated net primary production (NPP) varied between 90-147 C m-2 yr-1 during 2004-2018, a period with variable freshwater discharges and sea ice cover. NPP correlated negatively with sea ice cover and positively with freshwater discharge. Freshwater discharge had a strong local effect within ∼25 km of the source-sustaining productive hot spots during summer. When considering the annual NPP at bay scale, sea ice cover was the most important controlling factor. In scenarios with no sea ice in spring, the model predicted a ∼30% increase in annual production compared to a situation with high sea ice cover. Our study indicates that decreasing ice cover and more freshwater discharge can work synergistically and will likely increase primary productivity of the coastal ocean around Greenland. © 2023 Eva Friis Møller et al. more
Author(s):
Gouveia, C.M.; Silva, M.; Russo, A.
Publication title: iScience
2024
| Volume: 27 | Issue: 1
2024
Abstract:
Madagascar is a low-income country, highly vulnerable to natural disasters affecting the small-scale subsistence farming system. Recently, climate cha… Madagascar is a low-income country, highly vulnerable to natural disasters affecting the small-scale subsistence farming system. Recently, climate change and environmental degradation have contributed to an intensification of food insecurity. We aim to monitor the link between dry and hot extremes on vegetation conditions, separated or concurrently, using satellite data, such as LST, ET, ET0, and FAPAR products from SEVIRI/MSG disseminated by LSASAF-EUMETSAT. The analysis was made for a long record from 2004 to 2021, focusing on the extreme seasons of 2020 and 2021. Results highlight the higher impact of combined dry and hot events when compared with isolated events, with a strong response of vegetation in the southern part of Madagascar. Results point to the added value of using the recent data records from geostationary satellites with high temporal resolution and updated in near real-time, to early detect, monitor, and characterize the impact of climate extremes on vegetation dynamics. © 2023 The Authors more
Author(s):
Kambezidis, Harry D.
Publication title: Applied Sciences
2022
| Volume: 12 | Issue: 16
2022
Abstract:
The aim of this work is the study of the sky conditions climatology over Greece based on the diffuse-fraction (kd) limits, for clear, kd ∈ [0, 0.26]; … The aim of this work is the study of the sky conditions climatology over Greece based on the diffuse-fraction (kd) limits, for clear, kd ∈ [0, 0.26]; intermediate, kd ∈ (0.26, 0.78); and overcast, kd ∈ (0.78, 1) skies. kd is, therefore, used here to characterise the sky conditions over a site. Its values are estimated from diffuse and global horizontal solar irradiances the typical meteorological years of 43 selected Greek sites. The kd values in each specific range are equivalent to sunshine durations (SSDs) under the particular sky conditions. Annual, seasonal, and intra-annual variations in SSDs are estimated with regression equations to fit their means. Clear skies comprise 33%, intermediate 40%, and overcast 27% of the time in a year. kd, as an atmospheric scattering index (ASI), shows dependence on the sites’ geographical latitude: best-fit lines mean ASIs are derived showing no trend, while overcast skies show a slight negative trend. A comparison of the clear-sky SSDs for four Greek sites from the Global Climate Data and one site from the Academy of Sciences of Moldova with those derived from kd shows a remarkable difference. A new methodology is developed that results in much smaller differences. Finally, maps of the annual SSDs and ASIs are derived for Greece. more
Author(s):
Kambezidis, Harry D.; Mimidis, Konstantinos; Kavadias, Kosmas A.
Publication title: Energies
2023
| Volume: 16 | Issue: 13
2023
Abstract:
The aim of the present work is to investigate the efficiency of flat-plate solar panels in Greece for delivering solar energy. In this study, the sola… The aim of the present work is to investigate the efficiency of flat-plate solar panels in Greece for delivering solar energy. In this study, the solar panels are mounted on a two-axis tracker, which follows the daily path of the sun. In this context, the annual energy sums are estimated on such surfaces from hourly solar horizontal radiation values at forty-three locations, covering all of Greece. The solar horizontal radiation values are embedded in the typical meteorological years of the sites obtained from the PVGIS tool. All calculations use near-real surface-albedo values for the sites, and isotropic and anisotropic models are used to estimate the diffuse-inclined radiation. The analysis provides non-linear regression expressions for the energy sums as a function of time (month, season). The annual energy sums are found to vary between 2247 kWhm−2 and 2878 kWhm−2 under all-sky conditions with the anisotropic transposition model. Finally, maps of Greece showing the distribution of the annual and seasonal solar energy sums under all- and clear-sky conditions are derived for the first time, and these maps constitute the main innovation of this work. more
Author(s):
Gu, C.; Huang, A.; Zhang, Y.; Yang, B.; Cai, S.; Xu, X.; Luo, J.; Wu, Y.
Publication title: Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres
2022
| Volume: 127 | Issue: 21
2022
Abstract:
The Regional Climate Model Version 4 (RegCM4) with the conventional plane-parallel radiative transfer scheme severely overestimates the summer precipi… The Regional Climate Model Version 4 (RegCM4) with the conventional plane-parallel radiative transfer scheme severely overestimates the summer precipitation over the Tibetan Plateau (TP) due to the excessive surface heat source, which results from the poor representation of the sub-grid terrain-related radiation processes. To realistically describe the surface sub-grid radiation process in the RegCM4, a 3-dimensional sub-grid terrain solar radiative effect (3DSTSRE) parameterization scheme is implemented into the RegCM4 to improve the original plane-parallel radiative transfer scheme. Results show that adopting the 3DSTSRE scheme in RegCM4 can significantly reduce the summer (June–August) wet bias over the TP produced by the model with the plane-parallel radiative transfer scheme. Mechanism analysis indicates that the 3DSTSRE scheme largely improves the description of the TP surface energy balance in the RegCM4 by reducing the positive bias of downward surface solar radiation (DSSR). The reduced DSSR leads to the weakened surface heat source and cooler near-surface air over the TP. Consequently, the local atmospheric circulation adapts to the temperature field as the low-level anti-cyclonic (high-level cyclonic) anomaly over the TP. The adjustment of the temperature and wind field attenuates the water vapor transport, enhances the low-level atmospheric stability, inhibits the updraft motion, and eventually reduces the rainfall over TP. Although the 3DSTSRE improves the DSSR simulation only during daytime, the precipitation simulation is also improved at nighttime, which is fundamentally attributed to the maintenance of the cooled atmosphere throughout the daytime and nighttime. © 2022. American Geophysical Union. All Rights Reserved. more
Author(s):
Himmich, K.; Vancoppenolle, M.; Stammerjohn, S.; Bocquet, M.; Madec, G.; Sallée, J.-B.; Fleury, S.
Publication title: Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans
2024
| Volume: 129 | Issue: 8
2024
Abstract:
Antarctic sea ice extent has been persistently low since late 2016, possibly owing to changes in atmospheric and oceanic conditions. However, the rela… Antarctic sea ice extent has been persistently low since late 2016, possibly owing to changes in atmospheric and oceanic conditions. However, the relative contributions of the ocean, the atmosphere and the underlying mechanisms by which they have affected sea ice remain uncertain. To investigate possible causes for this sea-ice decrease, we establish a seasonal timeline of sea ice changes following 2016, using remote sensing observations. Anomalies in the timing of sea ice retreat and advance are examined along with their spatial and interannual relations with various indicators of seasonal sea ice and oceanic changes. They include anomalies in winter ice thickness, spring ice removal rate due to ice melt and transport, and summer sea surface temperature. We find that the ice season has shortened at an unprecedented rate and magnitude, due to earlier retreat and later advance. We attribute this shortening to a winter ice thinning, in line with ice-albedo feedback processes, with ice transport playing a smaller role. Reduced ice thickness has accelerated spring ice area removal as thinner sea ice requires less time to melt. The consequent earlier sea ice retreat has in turn increased ocean solar heat uptake in summer, ultimately delaying sea ice advance. We speculate that the observed winter sea ice thinning is consistent with previous evidence of subsurface warming of the Southern Ocean. © 2024. The Author(s). more
Author(s):
Leroy, S. S.; Gleisner, H.
Publication title: Earth and Space Science
2022
| Volume: 9 | Issue: 3
2022
Abstract:
The diurnal cycle throughout the stratosphere is analyzed by applying Bayesian interpolation to Constellation Observing System for Meteorology, Ionosp… The diurnal cycle throughout the stratosphere is analyzed by applying Bayesian interpolation to Constellation Observing System for Meteorology, Ionosphere, and Climate (COSMIC) Global Positioning System radio occultation (RO) data and three scientific applications of the analysis are introduced. First, the migrating thermal tides are analyzed with unprecedented accuracy and precision, with an uncertainty in the analysis of the vertically propagating tides ranging from 0.1 in the lower stratosphere to 0.6 K in the upper stratosphere for an individual month of RO data and with an uncertainty in a 10-year climatological diurnal cycle a factor of 10 less. Moreover, the midlatitude trapped tide is found to be smaller than what is produced by an atmospheric model and lags the model in phase, a likely consequence of a faulty parameterization of eddy diffusivity in the upper stratosphere. Second, a clear signal of solar cycle influence on the diurnal cycle is evident in this analysis, but whether the cause is the systematic bias of ionospheric residual associated with RO retrieval or it is an actual atmospheric phenomenon is less clear. Third, RO satellites and missions that obtain inadequate coverage of the diurnal cycle will be biased by under-sampling it, whether or not subsampling weather forecasts is used to removal sampling error. The analysis of the diurnal cycle in COSMIC RO data can be used to diagnose the systematic sampling error incurred by incomplete coverage of the diurnal cycle, which is of the order of 0.2 K for a Metop-based RO climatology. more
Author(s):
Mendoza, V.; Pazos, M.; Garduño, R.; Mendoza, B.
Publication title: Scientific Reports
2021
| Volume: 11 | Issue: 1
2021
Abstract:
On a global and annual average, we find a parameterization in which the cloud cover increase is proportional to the mid tropospheric temperature incre… On a global and annual average, we find a parameterization in which the cloud cover increase is proportional to the mid tropospheric temperature increase, with a negative proportionality factor. If the relative humidity is conserved throughout the troposphere, a 1 °C heating (cooling) of the mid troposphere, decreases (increases) the cloud cover by 1.5 percentage points (pp). But if the relative humidity is not conserved, then the cloud cover decreases (increases) by 7.6 pp. If the shortwave reflection effect of the cloud cover is dominant on a global scale, this parameterization leads to a predominant positive feedback: if the temperature increases like in the current climate change, the cloud cover decreases and more solar radiation reaches the surface increasing the temperature even more. The contribution of the present work consists in finding that the negative sign of the proportionality factor is due to the Clausius–Clapeyron equation; that is, to the magnitude of the derivative of the saturation vapor pressure at the typical standard surface temperature of 288 K. The negative sign of the factor is independent on the conservation or non-conservation of relative humidity in the troposphere under climate change. © 2021, The Author(s). more
Author(s):
Leinonen, J.; Hamann, U.; Sideris, I.V.; Germann, U.
Publication title: Geophysical Research Letters
2023
| Volume: 50 | Issue: 8
2023
Abstract:
Predictions of thunderstorm-related hazards are needed in several sectors, including first responders, infrastructure management and aviation. To addr… Predictions of thunderstorm-related hazards are needed in several sectors, including first responders, infrastructure management and aviation. To address this need, we present a deep learning model that can be adapted to different hazard types. The model can utilize multiple data sources; we use data from weather radar, lightning detection, satellite visible/infrared imagery, numerical weather prediction and digital elevation models. We demonstrate the ability of the model to predict lightning, hail and heavy precipitation probabilistically on a 1 km resolution grid, with a temporal resolution of 5 min and lead times up to 60 min. Shapley values quantify the importance of the different data sources, showing that the weather radar products are the most important predictors for all three hazard types. © 2023 The Authors. more
Author(s):
Herrmann, Maximilian; Sihler, Holger; Friess, Udo; Wagner, Thomas; Platt, Ulrich; Gutheil, Eva
Publication title: ATMOSPHERIC CHEMISTRY AND PHYSICS
2021
| Volume: 21 | Issue: 10
2021
Abstract:
Tropospheric bromine release and ozone depletion events (ODEs) as they commonly occur in the Arctic spring are studied using a regional model based on… Tropospheric bromine release and ozone depletion events (ODEs) as they commonly occur in the Arctic spring are studied using a regional model based on the open-source software package Weather Research and Forecasting model coupled with Chemistry (WRF-Chem). For this purpose, the MOZART (Model for Ozone and Related chemical Tracers)-MOSAIC (Model for Simulating Aerosol Interactions and Chemistry) chemical reaction mechanism is extended by bromine and chlorine reactions as well as an emission mechanism for reactive bromine via heterogeneous reactions on snow surfaces. The simulation domain covers an area of 5040km x 4960km, centered north of Utqiagvik (formerly Barrow), Alaska, and the time interval from February through May 2009. Several simulations for different strengths of the bromine emission are conducted and evaluated by comparison with in situ and ozone sonde measurements of ozone mixing ratios as well as by comparison with tropospheric BrO vertical column densities (VCDs) from the Global Ozone Monitoring Experiment-2 (GOME-2) satellite instrument. The base bromine emission scheme includes the direct emission of bromine due to bromide oxidation by ozone. Results of simulations with the base emission rate agree well with the observations; however, a simulation with 50% faster emissions performs somewhat better. The bromine emission due to bromide oxidation by ozone is found to be important to provide an initial seed for the bromine explosion. Bromine release due to N2O5 was found to be important from February to mid March but irrelevant thereafter. A comparison of modeled BrO with in situ and multi-axis differential optical absorption spectroscopy (MAX-DOAS) data hints at missing bromine release and recycling mechanisms on land or near coasts. A consideration of halogen chemistry substantially improves the prediction of the ozone mixing ratio with respect to the observations. Meteorological nudging is essential for a good prediction of ODEs over the 3-month period. more