Author(s):
Jaaskelainen, Emmihenna; Manninen, Terhikki; Hakkarainen, Janne; Tamminen, Johanna
Publication title: INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF APPLIED EARTH OBSERVATION AND GEOINFORMATION
2022
| Volume: 107
2022
Abstract:
Surface albedo is a necessary parameter for climate studies and modeling. There is a need for a full spatial coverage of albedo data, but clouds and h… Surface albedo is a necessary parameter for climate studies and modeling. There is a need for a full spatial coverage of albedo data, but clouds and high solar zenith angle cause missing values to the optical satellite products, especially around the polar areas. Therefore, our motivation is to develop gap filling models. For that purpose, we will apply monthly gradient boosting (GB) based models to the Arctic sea ice area of the 34 years long albedo time series of the Satellite Application Facility on Climate Monitoring (CM SAF) project. We demonstrate the ability of the GB models to accurately fill missing data using albedo monthly mean, brightness temperature, and sea ice concentration as model inputs. Monthly GB models produce the most unbiased, precise, and robust estimates when compared to alternative estimates presented, such as monthly mean albedo values or estimates from monthly linear regression (LR) models. The mean relative differences between GB based estimates and original pentad values vary from-20% to 20% with RMSE being 0.048, compared to relative differences varying from-20% to over 60% with RMSE varying from 0.054 to 0.074 between other estimates and original pentad values. Pixelwise mean differences and standard deviations (std) over the whole Arctic sea ice area show that GB based estimates are more accurate (mean differences from-0.02 to 0.02) and more precise (std from 0.02 to 0.08) than other estimates (mean differences varying between-0.05 to over 0.05, and std varying from around 0.03 to over 0.1). Also, albedo of the melting sea ice is predicted better by the GB model, with negligible mean differences, compared to the LR model. Based on these results, we show that GB method is a useful technique to fill missing data, and the brightness temperature and sea ice concentration are useful additional model input data sources. more
Author(s):
Michailidis, Konstantinos; Koukouli, Maria-Elissavet; Siomos, Nikolaos; Balis, Dimitris; Tuinder, Olaf; Tilstra, L. Gijsbert; Mona, Lucia; Pappalardo, Gelsomina; Bortoli, Daniele
Publication title: Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics
2021
| Volume: 21 | Issue: 4
2021
Abstract:
The aim of this study is to investigate the potential of the Global Ozone Monitoring Experiment-2 (GOME-2) instruments, aboard the Meteorological Oper… The aim of this study is to investigate the potential of the Global Ozone Monitoring Experiment-2 (GOME-2) instruments, aboard the Meteorological Operational (MetOp)-A, MetOp-B and MetOp-C satellite programme platforms, to deliver accurate geometrical features of lofted aerosol layers. For this purpose, we use archived ground-based lidar data from stations available from the European Aerosol Research Lidar Network (EARLINET) database. The data are post-processed using the wavelet covariance transform (WCT) method in order to extract geometrical features such as the planetary boundary layer (PBL) height and the cloud boundaries. To obtain a significant number of collocated and coincident GOME-2 – EARLINET cases for the period between January 2007 and September 2019, 13 lidar stations, distributed over different European latitudes, contributed to this validation. For the 172 carefully screened collocations, the mean bias was found to be −0.18 ± 1.68 km, with a near-Gaussian distribution. On a station basis, and with a couple of exceptions where very few collocations were found, their mean biases fall in the ± 1 km range with an associated standard deviation between 0.5 and 1.5 km. Considering the differences, mainly due to the temporal collocation and the difference, between the satellite pixel size and the point view of the ground-based observations, these results can be quite promising and demonstrate that stable and extended aerosol layers as captured by the satellite sensors are verified by the ground-based data. We further present an in-depth analysis of a strong and long-lasting Saharan dust intrusion over the Iberian Peninsula. We show that, for this well-developed and spatially well-spread aerosol layer, most GOME-2 retrievals fall within 1 km of the exact temporally collocated lidar observation for the entire range of 0 to 150 km radii. This finding further testifies for the capabilities of the MetOp-borne instruments to sense the atmospheric aerosol layer heights. more
Author(s):
Ekblom, M.; Tuppi, L.; Räty, O.; Ollinaho, P.; Laine, M.; Järvinen, H.
Publication title: Tellus, Series A: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography
2023
| Volume: 75 | Issue: 1
2023
Abstract:
In numerical weather prediction (NWP), ensemble forecasting aims to quantify the flow-dependent forecast uncertainty. The focus here is on observation… In numerical weather prediction (NWP), ensemble forecasting aims to quantify the flow-dependent forecast uncertainty. The focus here is on observation-based verification of the reliability of ensemble forecasting systems. In particular, at short forecast lead times, forecast errors tend to be relatively small compared to observation errors and hence it is very important that the verification metric also accounts for observational uncertainties. This paper studies the so-called filter likelihood score which is deep-rooted in Bayesian estimation theory and fits naturally to the filtering setup of NWP. The filter likelihood score considers observation errors, ensemble mean skill, and ensemble spread in one metric. Importantly, it can be made multivariate and effortlessly expanded to simultaneous verification against all observation types through the observation operators contained in the parental data assimilation scheme. Here observations from the global radiosonde network and satellites (AMSU-A channel 5) are included in the verification of OpenIFS-based ensemble forecasts using different types of initial state perturbations. Our results show that the filter likelihood score is sensitive to the ensemble prediction system quality and compares consistently with other verification metrics such as the relationships between ensemble spread and ensemble mean forecast error, and Dawid-Sebastiani score. Our conclusion is that the filter likelihood score provides a very well-behaving verification metric, that can be made truly multivariate by including covariances, for ensemble prediction systems with a strong foundation in estimation theory. © 2023, Stockholm University Press. All rights reserved. more
Author(s):
Bozzo, A.; Doutriaux-Boucher, M.; Jackson, J.; Spezzi, L.; Lattanzio, A.; Watts, P.D.
Publication title: Remote Sensing
2024
| Volume: 16 | Issue: 16
2024
Abstract:
Clouds are key to understanding the atmosphere and climate, and a long series of satellite observations provide invaluable information to study their … Clouds are key to understanding the atmosphere and climate, and a long series of satellite observations provide invaluable information to study their properties. EUMETSAT has published Release 1 of the Optimal Cloud Analysis (OCA) Climate Data Record (CDR), which provides a homogeneous time series of cloud properties of up to two overlapping layers, together with uncertainties. The OCA product is derived using the 15 min Spinning Enhanced Visible and Infrared Imager (SEVIRI) measurements onboard Meteosat Second Generation (MSG) in geostationary orbit and covers the period from 19 January 2004 until 31 August 2019. This paper presents the validation of the OCA cloud-top pressure (CTP) against independent lidar-based estimates and the quality assessment of the cloud optical thickness (COT) and cloud particle effective radius (CRE) against a combination of products from satellite-based active and passive instruments. The OCA CTP is in good agreement with the CTP sensed by lidar for low thick liquid clouds and substantially below in the case of high ice clouds, in agreement with previous studies. The retrievals of COT and CRE are more reliable when constrained by solar channels and are consistent with other retrievals from passive imagers. The resulting cloud properties are stable and homogeneous over the whole period when compared against similar CDRs from passive instruments. For CTP, the OCA CDR and the near-real-time OCA products are consistent, allowing for the use of OCA near-real time products to extend the CDR beyond August 2019. © 2024 by the authors. more
Author(s):
Dörr, J.S.; Bonan, D.B.; Årthun, M.; Svendsen, L.; Wills, R.C.J.
Publication title: Cryosphere
2023
| Volume: 17 | Issue: 9
2023
Abstract:
The Arctic sea-ice cover is strongly influenced by internal variability on decadal timescales, affecting both short-term trends and the timing of the … The Arctic sea-ice cover is strongly influenced by internal variability on decadal timescales, affecting both short-term trends and the timing of the first ice-free summer. Several mechanisms of variability have been proposed, but how these mechanisms manifest both spatially and temporally remains unclear. The relative contribution of internal variability to observed Arctic sea-ice changes also remains poorly quantified. Here, we use a novel technique called low-frequency component analysis to identify the dominant patterns of winter and summer decadal Arctic sea-ice variability in the satellite record. The identified patterns account for most of the observed regional sea-ice variability and trends, and they thus help to disentangle the role of forced and internal sea-ice changes over the satellite record. In particular, we identify a mode of decadal ocean-atmosphere-sea-ice variability, characterized by an anomalous atmospheric circulation over the central Arctic, that accounts for approximately 30 % of the accelerated decline in pan-Arctic summer sea-ice area between 2000 and 2012 but accounts for at most 10 % of the decline since 1979. For winter sea ice, we find that internal variability has dominated decadal trends in the Bering Sea but has contributed less to trends in the Barents and Kara seas. These results, which detail the first purely observation-based estimate of the contribution of internal variability to Arctic sea-ice trends, suggest a lower estimate of the contribution from internal variability than most model-based assessments. © Copyright: more
Author(s):
Hotta, D.; Lonitz, K.; Healy, S.
Publication title: Atmospheric Measurement Techniques
2024
| Volume: 17 | Issue: 3
2024
Abstract:
Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) polarimetric radio occultation (PRO) observations sense the presence of hydrometeor particles along the ray … Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) polarimetric radio occultation (PRO) observations sense the presence of hydrometeor particles along the ray path by measuring the difference of excess phases in horizontally and vertically polarised carrier waves. As a first step towards using these observations in data assimilation and model diagnostics, a forward operator for the GNSS-PRO observable φDP (polarimetric differential phase shift) has been implemented by extending the existing two-dimensional forward operator for radio occultation bending-angle observations. Evaluation of heavy-precipitation cases showed that the implemented forward operator can simulate the observed φDP in synoptic-scale atmospheric river (AR) cases very accurately. For tropical cyclone cases it is more challenging to produce reasonable φDP simulations, due to the high sensitivity of φDP with respect to displacement of the position of the tropical cyclones. It was also found that snow is the dominant contributor to the simulated φDP and that the ability to compute the ray paths in two dimensions is essential to accurately simulate φDP. © Copyright: more
Author(s):
Correa, L.F.; Folini, D.; Chtirkova, B.; Wild, M.
Publication title: Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres
2024
| Volume: 129 | Issue: 18
2024
Abstract:
The Pacific Ocean, spanning over 30% of the Earth's surface, provides an ideal setting for studying the surface radiative balance due to its relativel… The Pacific Ocean, spanning over 30% of the Earth's surface, provides an ideal setting for studying the surface radiative balance due to its relatively pristine atmospheric conditions, far from anthropogenic emission sources. In this study we investigated the causes for the decadal trends of surface solar radiation (SSR) observed at eight stations scattered across seven islands in the Western Pacific Ocean, and extrapolated the results to the whole Western Pacific region based on the understanding of physical processes. Our results show a contrast between the causes for SSR trends in the northwestern and in the southwestern Pacific. In the Southwestern Pacific region, changes in cloud cover play a major role in the SSR decadal trends and interannual variability. The cloud cover in these areas is strongly associated with sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies, especially those induced by El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation (IPO). Modes of variability such as ENSO and IPO affect evaporation and convection, impacting the large-scale dynamics of the atmosphere, therefore influencing the distribution of the regions of deep convection. This consecutively impacts the cloud cover on a regional level and therefore SSR. In the Northern Hemisphere, conversely, a strong influence of these modes on cloudiness and SSR was not found. Instead, indirect evidence suggests that anthropogenic aerosol transported from Eastern Asia plays a major role in the decadal SSR trends. These results contribute to an improved understanding of the physical processes relevant for the long-term SSR trends in remote regions. © 2024 The Author(s). more
Author(s):
Riihelä, A.; Jääskeläinen, E.; Kallio-Myers, V.
Publication title: Earth System Science Data
2024
| Volume: 16 | Issue: 2
2024
Abstract:
We present the surface albedo data in the third edition of the CM SAF cLoud, Albedo and surface Radiation (CLARA) data record family. The temporal cov… We present the surface albedo data in the third edition of the CM SAF cLoud, Albedo and surface Radiation (CLARA) data record family. The temporal coverage of this edition is extended from 1979 until the near-present day. The core algorithms and data format remain unchanged from previous editions, but now white- and blue-sky albedo estimates are also available for the first time in CLARA data. We present an overview of the retrieval, followed by an assessment of the accuracy and stability of the data record, based on collocated comparisons with reference surface albedo measurements and intercomparisons with preceding satellite-based albedo data records. Specific attention is paid to addressing the spatial representativeness problem inherent in the "point-to-pixel"validation of satellite-based coarse surface albedo estimates against in situ measurements. We find the CLARA-A3 albedo data to match or improve upon the accuracy and robustness of the predecessor record (CLARA-A2), with good agreement found when compared to in situ measurements. In cases of a large bias, the spatial representativeness of the measurement site typically explains most of the increase. We conclude with a summarizing discussion on the observed strengths and weaknesses of the new data record, including guidance for potential users. The data are available at 10.5676/EUM_SAF_CM/CLARA_AVHRR/V003 (Karlsson et al., 2023b). © Copyright: more
Author(s):
Wane, Ousmane; Zarzalejo, Luis F.; Ferrera-Cobos, Francisco; Navarro, Ana A.; Rodríguez-López, Alberto; Valenzuela, Rita X.
Publication title: Applied Sciences
2023
| Volume: 13 | Issue: 8
2023
Abstract:
Numerical simulation applied to agriculture or wastewater treatment (WWT) is a complementary tool to understand, a priori, the impact of meteorologica… Numerical simulation applied to agriculture or wastewater treatment (WWT) is a complementary tool to understand, a priori, the impact of meteorological parameters on productivity under limiting environmental conditions or even to guide investments towards other more relevant circular economic objectives. This work proposes a new methodology to calculate Typical Meteorological Sequences (TMS) that could be used as input data to simulate the growth and productivity of photosynthetic organisms in different biological systems, such as a High-Rate Algae Pond (HRAP) for WWT or in agriculture for crops. The TMS was established by applying Finkelstein-Schafer statistics and represents the most likely meteorological sequence in the long term for each meteorological season. In our case study, 18 locations in the Madrid (Spain) region are estimated depending on climate conditions represented by solar irradiance and temperature. The parameters selected for generating TMS were photosynthetically active radiation, solar day length, maximum, minimum, mean, and temperature range. The selection of potential sequences according to the growth period of the organism is performed by resampling the available meteorological data, which, in this case study, increases the number of candidate sequences by 700%. more
Author(s):
Zhang, Ke; Zhao, Long; Tang, Wenjun; Yang, Kun; Wang, Jing
Publication title: IEEE Journal of Selected Topics in Applied Earth Observations and Remote Sensing
2022
| Volume: 15
2022
Abstract:
This article presents a comprehensive evaluation of the 2000–2018 Clouds and Earth's Radiant Energy System Synoptic 1° Ed4A (CERES SYN1deg Edition 4A)… This article presents a comprehensive evaluation of the 2000–2018 Clouds and Earth's Radiant Energy System Synoptic 1° Ed4A (CERES SYN1deg Edition 4A) surface solar radiation (SSR) product. In particular, the global assessment is conducted over different temporal scales (i.e., hourly, daily, and monthly-average) with special attention given to the impact of clouds, and a regional evaluation is further implemented over the Mainland of China (MC) using SSR measurements from a denser observational network provided by the China Meteorological Administration. Evaluation across all valid station-grid pairs yields mixed performance with |MBE|≤2.8 (6.2) W m−2, RMSE≤89.5 (31.6) W m−2, and R≥0.95 (0.93) over the globe (MC) for different temporal scales, and the monthly CERES SSR, with RMSE≤20 W m−2, is found to hold promise for global numerical weather prediction and climate monitoring. In addition, CERES is found to generally underestimate and overestimate SSR over land and ocean, respectively. Comparison between year-round and cloudy-season suggests that the presence of clouds may potentially impact the SSR retrievals, especially at the hourly temporal scales, with an increase in RMSE values larger than 10 W m−2 for most stations. Further investigation of subgrid heterogeneity suggests that most in situ SSR measurements can reasonably represent the 1° grid average except for some stations with specific geographic deployments, which may raise significant spatial representativeness issues and, therefore, need to be used with great caution. more