Author(s):
Okamoto, K.; Ishibashi, T.; Okabe, I.; Shimizu, H.
Publication title: Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society
2024
| Volume: 150 | Issue: 765
2024
Abstract:
This study accomplished the all-sky infrared (IR) radiance assimilation of the hyperspectral IR sounders of the IR atmospheric sounding interferometer… This study accomplished the all-sky infrared (IR) radiance assimilation of the hyperspectral IR sounders of the IR atmospheric sounding interferometer in the Japan Meteorological Agency's global system. Essential assimilation procedures, including cloud-dependent quality control, bias correction, and observation-error modeling, were directly adapted from the all-sky assimilation of geostationary satellite imagers in our previous study, without any sophisticated modifications. Data assimilation experiments conducted in different seasons demonstrated that, compared with clear-sky radiance assimilation, the all-sky radiance assimilation of three channels sensitive to mid and upper tropospheric water vapor yielded significant forecast improvements in not only humidity but also temperature, wind, and geopotential height. These improvements originated from more than twofold increments in the number of globally assimilated observations under the all-sky approach and better observation coverages. Increasing the number of assimilated channels to nine further amplified these improvements. The incorporation of an upper tropospheric channel mitigated upper tropospheric humidity biases that were originally exacerbated during three-channel assimilation. These results underscore the broad applicability of the all-sky assimilation approach to various IR instruments. © 2024 Royal Meteorological Society. more
Author(s):
Urraca, Ruben; Gracia-Amillo, Ana M.; Koubli, Elena; Huld, Thomas; Trentmann, Jörg; Riihelä, Aku; Lindfors, Anders V.; Palmer, Diane; Gottschalg, Ralph; Antonanzas-Torres, Fernando
Publication title: Remote Sensing of Environment
2017
| Volume: 199
2017
Abstract:
This work presents a validation of three satellite-based radiation products over an extensive network of 313 pyranometers across Europe, from 2005 to … This work presents a validation of three satellite-based radiation products over an extensive network of 313 pyranometers across Europe, from 2005 to 2015. The products used have been developed by the Satellite Application Facility on Climate Monitoring (CM SAF) and are one geostationary climate dataset (SARAH-JRC), one polar-orbiting climate dataset (CLARA-A2) and one geostationary operational product. Further, the ERA-Interim reanalysis is also included in the comparison. The main objective is to determine the quality level of the daily means of CM SAF datasets, identifying their limitations, as well as analyzing the different factors that can interfere in the adequate validation of the products. The quality of the pyranometer was the most critical source of uncertainty identified. In this respect, the use of records from Second Class pyranometers and silicon-based photodiodes increased the absolute error and the bias, as well as the dispersion of both metrics, preventing an adequate validation of the daily means. The best spatial estimates for the three datasets were obtained in Central Europe with a Mean Absolute Deviation (MAD) within 8–13 W/m2, whereas the MAD always increased at high-latitudes, snow-covered surfaces, high mountain ranges and coastal areas. Overall, the SARAH-JRC's accuracy was demonstrated over a dense network of stations making it the most consistent dataset for climate monitoring applications. The operational dataset was comparable to SARAH-JRC in Central Europe, but lacked of the temporal stability of climate datasets, while CLARA-A2 did not achieve the same level of accuracy despite predictions obtained showed high uniformity with a small negative bias. The ERA-Interim reanalysis shows the by-far largest deviations from the surface reference measurements. more
Author(s):
Borde, Régis; Doutriaux-Boucher, Marie
Publication title: La Météorologie
2014
| Volume: 8 | Issue: 87
2014
Abstract:
Les vecteurs vents extraits à partir des images satellite sont utilisés quotidiennement dans les modèles de prévision numérique du temps afin d'amélio… Les vecteurs vents extraits à partir des images satellite sont utilisés quotidiennement dans les modèles de prévision numérique du temps afin d'améliorer la qualité des prévisions météorologiques. Ils constituent en fait la seule observation du déplacement des masses d'air disponible aux hautes latitudes et au-dessus des océans. Cet article présente une vue d'ensemble de l'extraction des vecteurs vents à partir des images satellite à Eumetsat. La première partie décrit l'algorithme utilisé pour extraire des vents à partir des satellites géostationnaires Météosat, la seconde partie décrit l'extraction de ces vecteurs vents à partir des satellites polaires en orbite basse. more
Author(s):
Sauer, J; Demaeyer, J; Zappa, G; Massonnet, F; Ragone, F
Publication title: CLIMATE DYNAMICS
2024
| Volume: 62 | Issue: 6
2024
Abstract:
Various studies identified possible drivers of extremes of Arctic sea ice reduction, such as observed in the summers of 2007 and 2012, including preco… Various studies identified possible drivers of extremes of Arctic sea ice reduction, such as observed in the summers of 2007 and 2012, including preconditioning, local feedback mechanisms, oceanic heat transport and the synoptic- and large-scale atmospheric circulations. However, a robust quantitative statistical analysis of extremes of sea ice reduction is hindered by the small number of events that can be sampled in observations and numerical simulations with computationally expensive climate models. Recent studies tackled the problem of sampling climate extremes by using rare event algorithms, i.e., computational techniques developed in statistical physics to reduce the computational cost required to sample rare events in numerical simulations. Here we apply a rare event algorithm to ensemble simulations with the intermediate complexity coupled climate model PlaSim-LSG to investigate extreme negative summer pan-Arctic sea ice area anomalies under pre-industrial greenhouse gas conditions. Owing to the algorithm, we estimate return times of extremes orders of magnitude larger than feasible with direct sampling, and we compute statistically significant composite maps of dynamical quantities conditional on the occurrence of these extremes. We find that extremely low sea ice summers in PlaSim-LSG are associated with preconditioning through the winter sea ice-ocean state, with enhanced downward longwave radiation due to an anomalously moist and warm spring Arctic atmosphere and with enhanced downward sensible heat fluxes during the spring-summer transition. As a consequence of these three processes, the sea ice-albedo feedback becomes active in spring and leads to an amplification of pre-existing sea ice area anomalies during summer. more
Author(s):
Suslin, V.V.; Sutorikhin, I.A.; Latushkin, A.A.; Kudinov, O.B.; Korchemkina, E.N.; Dontsov, A.A.; Martynov, O.V.
2023
| Volume: 12780
2023
Abstract:
This work precedes the field experiment on Lake Teletskoye, which is scheduled for August 10-20, 2023. The main goal of the work is to get an informat… This work precedes the field experiment on Lake Teletskoye, which is scheduled for August 10-20, 2023. The main goal of the work is to get an information of the regional features and seasonal variability of the optically active characteristics of the water upper layer of Lake Teletskoye based on the Level-2 standard products of the OLCI optical scanner. © 2023 SPIE. more
Author(s):
Jaaskelainen, Emmihenna; Manninen, Terhikki; Hakkarainen, Janne; Tamminen, Johanna
Publication title: INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF APPLIED EARTH OBSERVATION AND GEOINFORMATION
2022
| Volume: 107
2022
Abstract:
Surface albedo is a necessary parameter for climate studies and modeling. There is a need for a full spatial coverage of albedo data, but clouds and h… Surface albedo is a necessary parameter for climate studies and modeling. There is a need for a full spatial coverage of albedo data, but clouds and high solar zenith angle cause missing values to the optical satellite products, especially around the polar areas. Therefore, our motivation is to develop gap filling models. For that purpose, we will apply monthly gradient boosting (GB) based models to the Arctic sea ice area of the 34 years long albedo time series of the Satellite Application Facility on Climate Monitoring (CM SAF) project. We demonstrate the ability of the GB models to accurately fill missing data using albedo monthly mean, brightness temperature, and sea ice concentration as model inputs. Monthly GB models produce the most unbiased, precise, and robust estimates when compared to alternative estimates presented, such as monthly mean albedo values or estimates from monthly linear regression (LR) models. The mean relative differences between GB based estimates and original pentad values vary from-20% to 20% with RMSE being 0.048, compared to relative differences varying from-20% to over 60% with RMSE varying from 0.054 to 0.074 between other estimates and original pentad values. Pixelwise mean differences and standard deviations (std) over the whole Arctic sea ice area show that GB based estimates are more accurate (mean differences from-0.02 to 0.02) and more precise (std from 0.02 to 0.08) than other estimates (mean differences varying between-0.05 to over 0.05, and std varying from around 0.03 to over 0.1). Also, albedo of the melting sea ice is predicted better by the GB model, with negligible mean differences, compared to the LR model. Based on these results, we show that GB method is a useful technique to fill missing data, and the brightness temperature and sea ice concentration are useful additional model input data sources. more
Author(s):
Michailidis, Konstantinos; Koukouli, Maria-Elissavet; Siomos, Nikolaos; Balis, Dimitris; Tuinder, Olaf; Tilstra, L. Gijsbert; Mona, Lucia; Pappalardo, Gelsomina; Bortoli, Daniele
Publication title: Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics
2021
| Volume: 21 | Issue: 4
2021
Abstract:
The aim of this study is to investigate the potential of the Global Ozone Monitoring Experiment-2 (GOME-2) instruments, aboard the Meteorological Oper… The aim of this study is to investigate the potential of the Global Ozone Monitoring Experiment-2 (GOME-2) instruments, aboard the Meteorological Operational (MetOp)-A, MetOp-B and MetOp-C satellite programme platforms, to deliver accurate geometrical features of lofted aerosol layers. For this purpose, we use archived ground-based lidar data from stations available from the European Aerosol Research Lidar Network (EARLINET) database. The data are post-processed using the wavelet covariance transform (WCT) method in order to extract geometrical features such as the planetary boundary layer (PBL) height and the cloud boundaries. To obtain a significant number of collocated and coincident GOME-2 – EARLINET cases for the period between January 2007 and September 2019, 13 lidar stations, distributed over different European latitudes, contributed to this validation. For the 172 carefully screened collocations, the mean bias was found to be −0.18 ± 1.68 km, with a near-Gaussian distribution. On a station basis, and with a couple of exceptions where very few collocations were found, their mean biases fall in the ± 1 km range with an associated standard deviation between 0.5 and 1.5 km. Considering the differences, mainly due to the temporal collocation and the difference, between the satellite pixel size and the point view of the ground-based observations, these results can be quite promising and demonstrate that stable and extended aerosol layers as captured by the satellite sensors are verified by the ground-based data. We further present an in-depth analysis of a strong and long-lasting Saharan dust intrusion over the Iberian Peninsula. We show that, for this well-developed and spatially well-spread aerosol layer, most GOME-2 retrievals fall within 1 km of the exact temporally collocated lidar observation for the entire range of 0 to 150 km radii. This finding further testifies for the capabilities of the MetOp-borne instruments to sense the atmospheric aerosol layer heights. more
Author(s):
Ekblom, M.; Tuppi, L.; Räty, O.; Ollinaho, P.; Laine, M.; Järvinen, H.
Publication title: Tellus, Series A: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography
2023
| Volume: 75 | Issue: 1
2023
Abstract:
In numerical weather prediction (NWP), ensemble forecasting aims to quantify the flow-dependent forecast uncertainty. The focus here is on observation… In numerical weather prediction (NWP), ensemble forecasting aims to quantify the flow-dependent forecast uncertainty. The focus here is on observation-based verification of the reliability of ensemble forecasting systems. In particular, at short forecast lead times, forecast errors tend to be relatively small compared to observation errors and hence it is very important that the verification metric also accounts for observational uncertainties. This paper studies the so-called filter likelihood score which is deep-rooted in Bayesian estimation theory and fits naturally to the filtering setup of NWP. The filter likelihood score considers observation errors, ensemble mean skill, and ensemble spread in one metric. Importantly, it can be made multivariate and effortlessly expanded to simultaneous verification against all observation types through the observation operators contained in the parental data assimilation scheme. Here observations from the global radiosonde network and satellites (AMSU-A channel 5) are included in the verification of OpenIFS-based ensemble forecasts using different types of initial state perturbations. Our results show that the filter likelihood score is sensitive to the ensemble prediction system quality and compares consistently with other verification metrics such as the relationships between ensemble spread and ensemble mean forecast error, and Dawid-Sebastiani score. Our conclusion is that the filter likelihood score provides a very well-behaving verification metric, that can be made truly multivariate by including covariances, for ensemble prediction systems with a strong foundation in estimation theory. © 2023, Stockholm University Press. All rights reserved. more
Author(s):
Bozzo, A.; Doutriaux-Boucher, M.; Jackson, J.; Spezzi, L.; Lattanzio, A.; Watts, P.D.
Publication title: Remote Sensing
2024
| Volume: 16 | Issue: 16
2024
Abstract:
Clouds are key to understanding the atmosphere and climate, and a long series of satellite observations provide invaluable information to study their … Clouds are key to understanding the atmosphere and climate, and a long series of satellite observations provide invaluable information to study their properties. EUMETSAT has published Release 1 of the Optimal Cloud Analysis (OCA) Climate Data Record (CDR), which provides a homogeneous time series of cloud properties of up to two overlapping layers, together with uncertainties. The OCA product is derived using the 15 min Spinning Enhanced Visible and Infrared Imager (SEVIRI) measurements onboard Meteosat Second Generation (MSG) in geostationary orbit and covers the period from 19 January 2004 until 31 August 2019. This paper presents the validation of the OCA cloud-top pressure (CTP) against independent lidar-based estimates and the quality assessment of the cloud optical thickness (COT) and cloud particle effective radius (CRE) against a combination of products from satellite-based active and passive instruments. The OCA CTP is in good agreement with the CTP sensed by lidar for low thick liquid clouds and substantially below in the case of high ice clouds, in agreement with previous studies. The retrievals of COT and CRE are more reliable when constrained by solar channels and are consistent with other retrievals from passive imagers. The resulting cloud properties are stable and homogeneous over the whole period when compared against similar CDRs from passive instruments. For CTP, the OCA CDR and the near-real-time OCA products are consistent, allowing for the use of OCA near-real time products to extend the CDR beyond August 2019. © 2024 by the authors. more
Author(s):
Dörr, J.S.; Bonan, D.B.; Årthun, M.; Svendsen, L.; Wills, R.C.J.
Publication title: Cryosphere
2023
| Volume: 17 | Issue: 9
2023
Abstract:
The Arctic sea-ice cover is strongly influenced by internal variability on decadal timescales, affecting both short-term trends and the timing of the … The Arctic sea-ice cover is strongly influenced by internal variability on decadal timescales, affecting both short-term trends and the timing of the first ice-free summer. Several mechanisms of variability have been proposed, but how these mechanisms manifest both spatially and temporally remains unclear. The relative contribution of internal variability to observed Arctic sea-ice changes also remains poorly quantified. Here, we use a novel technique called low-frequency component analysis to identify the dominant patterns of winter and summer decadal Arctic sea-ice variability in the satellite record. The identified patterns account for most of the observed regional sea-ice variability and trends, and they thus help to disentangle the role of forced and internal sea-ice changes over the satellite record. In particular, we identify a mode of decadal ocean-atmosphere-sea-ice variability, characterized by an anomalous atmospheric circulation over the central Arctic, that accounts for approximately 30 % of the accelerated decline in pan-Arctic summer sea-ice area between 2000 and 2012 but accounts for at most 10 % of the decline since 1979. For winter sea ice, we find that internal variability has dominated decadal trends in the Bering Sea but has contributed less to trends in the Barents and Kara seas. These results, which detail the first purely observation-based estimate of the contribution of internal variability to Arctic sea-ice trends, suggest a lower estimate of the contribution from internal variability than most model-based assessments. © Copyright: more