Author(s):
Ford, D.J.; Blannin, J.; Watts, J.; Watson, A.J.; Landschützer, P.; Jersild, A.; Shutler, J.D.
Publication title: Global Biogeochemical Cycles
2024
| Volume: 38 | Issue: 11
2024
Abstract:
Increasing anthropogenic CO2 emissions to the atmosphere are partially sequestered into the global oceans through the air-sea exchange of CO2 and its … Increasing anthropogenic CO2 emissions to the atmosphere are partially sequestered into the global oceans through the air-sea exchange of CO2 and its subsequent movement to depth, commonly referred to as the global ocean carbon sink. Quantifying this ocean carbon sink provides a key component for closing the global carbon budget, which is used to inform and guide policy decisions. These estimates are typically accompanied by an uncertainty budget built by selecting what are perceived as critical uncertainty components based on selective experimentation. However, there is a growing realization that these budgets are incomplete and may be underestimated, which limits their power as a constraint within global budgets. In this study, we present a methodology for quantifying spatially and temporally varying uncertainties in the air-sea CO2 flux calculations for the fCO2-product based assessments that allows an exhaustive assessment of all known sources of uncertainties, including decorrelation length scales between gridded measurements, and the approach follows standard uncertainty propagation methodologies. The resulting standard uncertainties are higher than previously suggested budgets, but the component contributions are largely consistent with previous work. The uncertainties presented in this study identify how the significance and importance of key components change in space and time. For an exemplar method (the UExP-FNN-U method), the work identifies that we can currently estimate the annual ocean carbon sink to a precision of ±0.70 Pg C yr−1 (1σ uncertainty). Because this method has been built on established uncertainty propagation and approaches, it appears that applicable to all fCO2-product assessments of the ocean carbon sink. © 2024. The Author(s). more
Author(s):
Bouhorma, Naoufal; Martín, Helena; de la Hoz, Jordi; Coronas, Sergio
Publication title: Applied Sciences
2023
| Volume: 13 | Issue: 5
2023
Abstract:
The prediction and characterization of solar irradiation relies mostly on either the use of complex models or on complicated mathematical techniques, … The prediction and characterization of solar irradiation relies mostly on either the use of complex models or on complicated mathematical techniques, such as artificial neural network (ANN)-based algorithms. This mathematical complexity might hamper their use by businesses and project developers when assessing the solar resource. In this study, a simple but comprehensive methodology for characterizing the solar resource for a project is presented. It is based on the determination of the best probability distribution function (PDF) of the solar irradiation for a specific location, assuming that the knowledge of statistical techniques may be more widely extended than other more complex mathematical methods. The presented methodology was tested on 23 cities across Morocco, given the high interest in solar investments in the country. As a result, a new database for solar irradiation values depending on historical data is provided for Morocco. The results show the great existing variety of PDFs for the solar irradiation data at the different months and cities, which demonstrates the need for undertaking a proper characterization of the irradiation when the assessment of solar energy projects is involved. When it is simply needed to embed the radiation uncertainty in the analysis, as is the case of the techno-economic valuation of solar energy assets, the presented methodology can reach this objective with much less complexity and less demanding input data. Moreover, its application is not limited to solar resource assessment, but can also be easily used in other fields, such as meteorology and climate change studies. more
Author(s):
Ermida, Sofia L.; Trigo, Isabel F.
Publication title: Remote Sensing
2022
| Volume: 14 | Issue: 10
2022
Abstract:
Land surface temperature is linked to a wide range of surface processes. Given the increased development of earth observation systems, a large effort … Land surface temperature is linked to a wide range of surface processes. Given the increased development of earth observation systems, a large effort has been put into advancing land surface temperature retrieval algorithms from remote sensors. Due to the very limited number of reliable in situ observations matching the spatial scales of satellite observations, algorithm development relies on synthetic databases, which then constitute a crucial part of algorithm development. Here we provide a database of atmospheric profiles and respective surface conditions that can be used to train and verify algorithms for land surface temperature retrieval, including machine learning techniques. The database was built from ERA5 data resampled through a dissimilarity criterion applied to the temperature and specific humidity profiles. This criterion aims to obtain regular distributions of these variables, ensuring a good representation of all atmospheric conditions. The corresponding vertical profiles of ozone and relevant surface and vertically integrated variables are also included in the dataset. Information on the surface conditions (i.e., temperature and emissivity) was complemented with data from a wide array of satellite products, enabling a more realistic surface representation. The dataset is freely available online at Zenodo. more
Author(s):
Jonkheid, B. J.; Roebeling, R. A.; van Meijgaard, E.
Publication title: Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics
2012
| Volume: 12 | Issue: 22
2012
Abstract:
Abstract. The uncertainties in the cloud physical properties derived from satellite observations make it difficult to interpret model evaluation studi… Abstract. The uncertainties in the cloud physical properties derived from satellite observations make it difficult to interpret model evaluation studies. In this paper, the uncertainties in the cloud water path (CWP) retrievals derived with the cloud physical properties retrieval algorithm (CPP) of the climate monitoring satellite application facility (CM SAF) are investigated. To this end, a numerical simulator of MSG-SEVIRI observations has been developed that calculates the reflectances at 0.64 and 1.63 μm for a wide range of cloud parameter values, satellite viewing geometries and surface albedos using a plane-parallel radiative transfer model. The reflectances thus obtained are used as input to CPP, and the retrieved values of CWP are compared to the original input of the simulator. Cloud parameters considered in this paper refer to e.g. sub-pixel broken clouds and the simultaneous occurrence of ice and liquid water clouds within one pixel. These configurations are not represented in the CPP algorithm and as such the associated retrieval uncertainties are potentially substantial. It is shown that the CWP retrievals are very sensitive to the assumptions made in the CPP code. The CWP retrieval errors are generally small for unbroken single-layer clouds with COT > 10, with retrieval errors of ~3% for liquid water clouds to ~10% for ice clouds. In a multi-layer cloud, when both liquid water and ice clouds are present in a pixel, the CWP retrieval errors increase dramatically; depending on the cloud, this can lead to uncertainties of 40–80%. CWP retrievals also become more uncertain when the cloud does not cover the entire pixel, leading to errors of ~50% for cloud fractions of 0.75 and even larger errors for smaller cloud fractions. Thus, the satellite retrieval of cloud physical properties of broken clouds as well as multi-layer clouds is complicated by inherent difficulties, and the proper interpretation of such retrievals requires extra care. more
Author(s):
Blank, D.; Eicker, A.; Jensen, L.; Güntner, A.
Publication title: Hydrology and Earth System Sciences
2023
| Volume: 27 | Issue: 13
2023
Abstract:
Water storage changes in the soil can be observed on a global scale with different types of satellite remote sensing. While active or passive microwav… Water storage changes in the soil can be observed on a global scale with different types of satellite remote sensing. While active or passive microwave sensors are limited to the upper few centimeters of the soil, satellite gravimetry can detect changes in the terrestrial water storage (TWS) in an integrative way, but it cannot distinguish between storage variations in different compartments or soil depths. Jointly analyzing both data types promises novel insights into the dynamics of subsurface water storage and of related hydrological processes. In this study, we investigate the global relationship of (1) several satellite soil moisture products and (2) non-standard daily TWS data from the Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment/Follow-On (GRACE/GRACE-FO) satellite gravimetry missions on different timescales. The six soil moisture products analyzed in this study differ in the post-processing and the considered soil depth. Level 3 surface soil moisture data sets of the Soil Moisture Active Passive (SMAP) and Soil Moisture and Ocean Salinity (SMOS) missions are compared to post-processed Level 4 data products (surface and root zone soil moisture) and the European Space Agency Climate Change Initiative (ESA CCI) multi-satellite product. On a common global 1 grid, we decompose all TWS and soil moisture data into seasonal to sub-monthly signal components and compare their spatial patterns and temporal variability. We find larger correlations between TWS and soil moisture for soil moisture products with deeper integration depths (root zone vs. surface layer) and for Level 4 data products. Even for high-pass filtered sub-monthly variations, significant correlations of up to 0.6 can be found in regions with a large, high-frequency storage variability. A time shift analysis of TWS versus soil moisture data reveals the differences in water storage dynamics with integration depth. © 2023 Daniel Blank et al. more
Author(s):
Loew, Alexander; Bennartz, Ralf; Fell, Frank; Lattanzio, Alessio; Doutriaux-Boucher, Marie; Schulz, Jörg
Publication title: Earth System Science Data
2016
| Volume: 8 | Issue: 2
2016
Abstract:
Abstract. Validating the accuracy and long-term stability of terrestrial satellite data products necessitates a network of reference sites. This paper… Abstract. Validating the accuracy and long-term stability of terrestrial satellite data products necessitates a network of reference sites. This paper documents a global database of more than 2000 sites globally which have been characterized in terms of their spatial heterogeneity. The work was motivated by the need for potential validation sites for geostationary surface albedo data products, but the resulting database is useful also for other applications. The database (SAVS 1.0) is publicly available through the EUMETSAT website (http://savs.eumetsat.int/, doi:10.15770/EUM_SEC_CLM_1001). Sites can be filtered according to different criteria, providing a flexible way to identify potential validation sites for further studies and a traceable approach to characterize the heterogeneity of these reference sites. The present paper describes the detailed information on the generation of the SAVS 1.0 database and its characteristics. more
Author(s):
Kuhlbrodt, T.; Swaminathan, R.; Ceppi, P.; Wilder, T.
Publication title: Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
2024
| Volume: 105 | Issue: 3
2024
Abstract:
In the year 2023, we have seen extraordinary extrema in high sea surface temperature (SST) in the North Atlantic and in low sea ice extent in the Sout… In the year 2023, we have seen extraordinary extrema in high sea surface temperature (SST) in the North Atlantic and in low sea ice extent in the Southern Ocean, outside the 4σ envelope of the 1982–2011 daily time series. Earth’s net global energy imbalance (12 months up to September 2023) amounts to +1.9 W m−2 as part of a remarkably large upward trend, ensuring further heating of the ocean. However, the regional radiation budget over the North Atlantic does not show signs of a suggested significant step increase from less negative aerosol forcing since 2020. While the temperature in the top 100 m of the global ocean has been rising in all basins since about 1980, specifically the Atlantic basin has continued to further heat up since 2016, potentially contributing to the extreme SST. Similarly, salinity in the top 100 m of the ocean has increased in recent years specifically in the Atlantic basin, and in addition in about 2015 a substantial negative trend for sea ice extent in the Southern Ocean began. Analyzing climate and Earth system model simulations of the future, we find that the extreme SST in the North Atlantic and the extreme in Southern Ocean sea ice extent in 2023 lie at the fringe of the expected mean climate change for a global surface-air temperature warming level (GWL) of 1.5°C, and closer to the average at a 3.0°C GWL. Understanding the regional and global drivers of these extremes is indispensable for assessing frequency and impacts of similar events in the coming years. © 2024 American Meteorological Society. more
Author(s):
Liang, J.; Terasaki, K.; Miyoshi, T.
Publication title: Journal of the Meteorological Society of Japan
2023
| Volume: 101 | Issue: 1
2023
Abstract:
The observation operator (OO) is essential in data assimilation (DA) to derive the model equivalent of observations from the model variables. In the s… The observation operator (OO) is essential in data assimilation (DA) to derive the model equivalent of observations from the model variables. In the satellite DA, the OO for satellite microwave brightness temperature (BT) is usually based on the radiative transfer model (RTM) with a bias correction procedure. To explore the possibility to obtain OO without using physically based RTM, this study applied machine learning (ML) as OO (MLOO) to assimilate BT from Advanced Microwave Sounding Unit-A (AMSU-A) channels 6 and 7 over oceans and channel 8 over both land and oceans under clear-sky conditions. We used a reference system, consisting of the nonhydrostatic icosahedral atmospheric model (NICAM) and the local ensemble transform Kalman filter (LETKF). The radiative transfer for TOVS (RTTOV) was implemented in the system as OO, combined with a separate bias correction procedure (RTTOV-OO). The DA experiment was performed for 1 month to assimilate conventional observations and BT using the reference system. Model forecasts from the experiment were paired with observations for training the ML models to obtain ML-OO. In addition, three DA experiments were conducted, which revealed that DA of the conventional observations and BT using ML-OO was slightly inferior, compared to that of RTTOV-OO, but it was better than the assimilation based on only conventional observations. Moreover, ML-OO treated bias internally, thereby simplifying the overall system framework. The proposed ML-OO has limitations due to (1) the inability to treat bias realistically when a significant change is present in the satellite characteristics, (2) inapplicability for many channels, (3) deteriorated performance, compared with that of RTTOV-OO with respect to accuracy and computational speed, and (4) physically based RTM is still used to train the ML-OO. Future studies can alleviate these drawbacks, thereby improving the proposed ML-OO. © The Author(s) 2023. more
Author(s):
Zhang, X.; Xu, D.; Min, J.; Li, H.; Shen, F.; Lei, Y.
Publication title: IEEE Transactions on Geoscience and Remote Sensing
2024
| Volume: 62
2024
Abstract:
Most bias correction (BC) schemes based on a linear fitting function have undesirable effects on the all-sky assimilation of satellite radiances from … Most bias correction (BC) schemes based on a linear fitting function have undesirable effects on the all-sky assimilation of satellite radiances from infrared bands. This study introduces a newly nonlinear BC method for the all-sky assimilation of Fengyun-4A (FY-4A) Advanced Geosynchronous Radiation Imager (AGRI) infrared radiances. The proposed BC method uses a machine learning technology of random forest (RF) to emulate the fitting relationship between the observation-minus-background (OMB) departures and BC predictors. The effectiveness of this BC algorithm is verified in an idealized case, where the sources of the systematic bias and the real states of the atmosphere are assumed to be known. The OMB departures here were artificially produced including the predictor-dependent systematic biases and the Gauss errors. Meanwhile, the so-called 'truth' was simulated from natural run forecasts in a regional observing system simulation experiment (OSSE) framework. As expected, it is demonstrated that the RF BC method has the ability to remove linear and lower degree nonlinear biases of all-sky AGRI infrared observations whether caused by a single source or multiple sources. Another advantage of the RF BC method is that meteorological signals are potentially reserved after BC when the predictors have been properly selected according to feature importance scores in the RF model. Henceforth, assimilating the bias-corrected AGRI observations is conducive to decreasing the erroneous increments, followed by more accurate analyses of water vapor and cloud ice in the middle and upper troposphere. © 1980-2012 IEEE. more