Author(s):
Alexandri, F.; Müller, F.; Choudhury, G.; Achtert, P.; Seelig, T.; Tesche, M.
Publication title: Atmospheric Measurement Techniques
2024
| Volume: 17 | Issue: 6
2024
Abstract:
The effective radiative forcing (ERF) due to aerosol-cloud interactions (ACIs) and rapid adjustments (ERFaci) still causes the largest uncertainty in … The effective radiative forcing (ERF) due to aerosol-cloud interactions (ACIs) and rapid adjustments (ERFaci) still causes the largest uncertainty in the assessment of climate change. It is understood only with medium confidence and is studied primarily for warm clouds. Here, we present a novel cloud-by-cloud (C×C) approach for studying ACI in satellite observations that combines the concentration of cloud condensation nuclei (nCCN) and ice nucleating particles (nINP) from polar-orbiting lidar measurements with the development of the properties of individual clouds by tracking them in geostationary observations. We present a step-by-step description for obtaining matched aerosol-cloud cases. The application to satellite observations over central Europe and northern Africa during 2014, together with rigorous quality assurance, leads to 399 liquid-only clouds and 95 ice-containing clouds that can be matched to surrounding nCCN and nINP respectively at cloud level. We use this initial data set for assessing the impact of changes in cloud-relevant aerosol concentrations on the cloud droplet number concentration (Nd) and effective radius (reff) of liquid clouds and the phase of clouds in the regime of heterogeneous ice formation. We find a ΔlnNd/ΔlnnCCN of 0.13 to 0.30, which is at the lower end of commonly inferred values of 0.3 to 0.8. The Δlnreff/ΔlnnCCN between -0.09 and -0.21 suggests that reff decreases by -0.81 to -3.78 nm per increase in nCCN of 1 cm-3. We also find a tendency towards more cloud ice and more fully glaciated clouds with increasing nINP that cannot be explained by the increasingly lower cloud top temperature of supercooled-liquid, mixed-phase, and fully glaciated clouds alone. Applied to a larger number of observations, the C×C approach has the potential to enable the systematic investigation of warm and cold clouds. This marks a step change in the quantification of ERFaci from space. © Copyright: more
Author(s):
Kim, Hyunglok; Crow, Wade T.; Wagner, Wolfgang; Li, Xiaojun; Lakshmi, Venkataraman
Publication title: Remote Sensing of Environment
2023
| Volume: 296
2023
Abstract:
Estimating accurate surface soil moisture (SM) dynamics from space, and knowing the error characteristics of these estimates, is of great importance f… Estimating accurate surface soil moisture (SM) dynamics from space, and knowing the error characteristics of these estimates, is of great importance for the application of satellite-based SM data throughout many Earth Science/Environmental Engineering disciplines. Here, we introduce the Bayesian inference approach to analyze the error characteristics of widely used passive and active microwave satellite-derived SM data sets, at different overpass times, acquired from the Soil Moisture Active Passive (SMAP), Soil Moisture and Ocean Salinity (SMOS), and Advanced Scatterometer (ASCAT) missions. In particular, we apply Bayesian hierarchical modeling (BHM) and triple collocation analysis (TCA) to investigate the relative importance of different environmental factors and human activities on the accuracy of satellite-based data. To start, we compare the BHM-based sensitivity analysis method to the classic multiple regression models using a frequentist approach, which includes complete pooling and no-pooling models that have been widely used for sensitivity analysis in the field of remote sensing and demonstrate the BHM's adaptability and great potential for providing insight into sensitivity analysis that can be used by various remote sensing research communities. Next, we conduct an uncertainty analysis on BHM's model parameters using a full range of uncertainties to assess the association of various environmental factors with the accuracy of satellite-derived SM data. We focus on investigating human-induced error sources such as disturbed surface soil layers caused by irrigation activities on microwave satellite systems, naturally introduced error sources such as vegetation and soil organic matter, and errors related to the disregard of SM retrieval algorithmic assumptions - such as the thermal equilibrium passive microwave systems. Based on the BHM-based sensitivity analysis, we find that assessments of SM data quality with a single variable should be avoided, since numerous other factors simultaneously influence their quality. As such, this provides a useful framework for applying Bayesian theory to the investigation of the error characteristics of satellite-based SM data and other time-varying geophysical variables. more
Author(s):
Mengyao, Li; Qiang, Liu; Ying, Qu
Publication title: International Journal of Digital Earth
2023
| Volume: 16 | Issue: 1
2023
Abstract:
Albedo is a key variable in the study of global or regional earth system models. High-quality albedo products are helpful for the accurate analysis an… Albedo is a key variable in the study of global or regional earth system models. High-quality albedo products are helpful for the accurate analysis and prediction of the Earth’s environment and climate. This paper analyzes the similarities and differences in several global-scale albedo products. The conclusions are as follows: (1) Ignoring the downward radiation weight leads to a maximum deviation of ±0.2 in the mean albedo in space and time; (2) Most of the products have good consistency at the global scale, especially after 2000, the consistency in the middle latitudes is better than that in the low latitudes and high latitudes; (3) Although there are obvious inter-annual variations and zonal differences in global mean albedo data from 2000 to 2020, the overall trend is not significant. The complex spatio-temporal variation of albedo requires high-quality remote sensing products to characterize its details. However, existing datasets do not show good agreement in these details, and more efforts are needed in this area. more
Author(s):
Frysztacki, M.M.; Recht, G.; Brown, T.
Publication title: Energy Informatics
2022
| Volume: 5 | Issue: 1
2022
Abstract:
Modeling the optimal design of the future European energy system involves large data volumes and many mathematical constraints, typically resulting in… Modeling the optimal design of the future European energy system involves large data volumes and many mathematical constraints, typically resulting in a significant computational burden. As a result, modelers often apply reductions to their model that can have a significant effect on the accuracy of their results. This study investigates methods for spatially clustering electricity system models at transmission level to overcome the computational constraints. Spatial reduction has a strong effect both on flows in the electricity transmission network and on the way wind and solar generators are aggregated. Clustering methods applied in the literature are typically oriented either towards preserving network flows or towards preserving the properties of renewables, but both are important for future energy systems. In this work we adapt clustering algorithms to accurately represent both networks and renewables. To this end we focus on hierarchical clustering, since it preserves the topology of the transmission system. We test improvements to the similarity metrics used in the clustering by evaluating the resulting regions with measures on renewable feed-in and electrical distance between nodes. Then, the models are optimised under a brownfield capacity expansion for the European electricity system for varying spatial resolutions and renewable penetration. Results are compared to each other and to existing clustering approaches in the literature and evaluated on the preciseness of siting renewable capacity and the estimation of power flows. We find that any of the considered methods perform better than the commonly used approach of clustering by country boundaries and that any of the hierarchical methods yield better estimates than the established method of clustering with k-means on the coordinates of the network with respect to the studied parameters. © 2022, The Author(s). more
Author(s):
Whitburn, S.; Clarisse, L.; Crapeau, M.; August, T.; Hultberg, T.; Coheur, P. F.; Clerbaux, C.
Publication title: Atmospheric Measurement Techniques
2022
| Volume: 15 | Issue: 22
2022
Abstract:
With more than 15 years of continuous and consistent measurements, the Infrared Atmospheric Sounding Interferometer (IASI) radiance dataset is becomin… With more than 15 years of continuous and consistent measurements, the Infrared Atmospheric Sounding Interferometer (IASI) radiance dataset is becoming a reference climate data record. To be exploited to its full potential, it requires a cloud filter that is accurate, unbiased over the full IASI life span and strict enough to be used in satellite data retrieval schemes. Here, we present a new cloud detection algorithm which combines (1) a high sensitivity, (2) a good consistency over the whole IASI time series and between the different copies of the instrument flying on board the suite of Metop satellites, and (3) simplicity in its parametrization. The method is based on a supervised neural network (NN) and relies, as input parameters, on the IASI radiance measurements only. The robustness of the cloud mask over time is ensured in particular by avoiding the IASI channels that are influenced by CO2, N2O, CH4, CFC-11 and CFC-12 absorption lines and those corresponding to the ν2 H2O absorption band. As a reference dataset for the training, version 6.5 of the operational IASI Level 2 (L2) cloud product is used. We provide different illustrations of the NN cloud product, including comparisons with other existing products. We find very good agreement overall with version 6.5 of the operational IASI L2 with an identical mean annual cloud amount and a pixel-by-pixel correspondence of about 87 %. The comparison with the other cloud products shows a good correspondence in the main cloud regimes but with sometimes large differences in the mean cloud amount (up to 10 %) due to the specificities of each of the different products. We also show the good capability of the NN product to differentiate clouds from dust plumes. more
Author(s):
Ford, D.J.; Blannin, J.; Watts, J.; Watson, A.J.; Landschützer, P.; Jersild, A.; Shutler, J.D.
Publication title: Global Biogeochemical Cycles
2024
| Volume: 38 | Issue: 11
2024
Abstract:
Increasing anthropogenic CO2 emissions to the atmosphere are partially sequestered into the global oceans through the air-sea exchange of CO2 and its … Increasing anthropogenic CO2 emissions to the atmosphere are partially sequestered into the global oceans through the air-sea exchange of CO2 and its subsequent movement to depth, commonly referred to as the global ocean carbon sink. Quantifying this ocean carbon sink provides a key component for closing the global carbon budget, which is used to inform and guide policy decisions. These estimates are typically accompanied by an uncertainty budget built by selecting what are perceived as critical uncertainty components based on selective experimentation. However, there is a growing realization that these budgets are incomplete and may be underestimated, which limits their power as a constraint within global budgets. In this study, we present a methodology for quantifying spatially and temporally varying uncertainties in the air-sea CO2 flux calculations for the fCO2-product based assessments that allows an exhaustive assessment of all known sources of uncertainties, including decorrelation length scales between gridded measurements, and the approach follows standard uncertainty propagation methodologies. The resulting standard uncertainties are higher than previously suggested budgets, but the component contributions are largely consistent with previous work. The uncertainties presented in this study identify how the significance and importance of key components change in space and time. For an exemplar method (the UExP-FNN-U method), the work identifies that we can currently estimate the annual ocean carbon sink to a precision of ±0.70 Pg C yr−1 (1σ uncertainty). Because this method has been built on established uncertainty propagation and approaches, it appears that applicable to all fCO2-product assessments of the ocean carbon sink. © 2024. The Author(s). more
Author(s):
Bouhorma, Naoufal; Martín, Helena; de la Hoz, Jordi; Coronas, Sergio
Publication title: Applied Sciences
2023
| Volume: 13 | Issue: 5
2023
Abstract:
The prediction and characterization of solar irradiation relies mostly on either the use of complex models or on complicated mathematical techniques, … The prediction and characterization of solar irradiation relies mostly on either the use of complex models or on complicated mathematical techniques, such as artificial neural network (ANN)-based algorithms. This mathematical complexity might hamper their use by businesses and project developers when assessing the solar resource. In this study, a simple but comprehensive methodology for characterizing the solar resource for a project is presented. It is based on the determination of the best probability distribution function (PDF) of the solar irradiation for a specific location, assuming that the knowledge of statistical techniques may be more widely extended than other more complex mathematical methods. The presented methodology was tested on 23 cities across Morocco, given the high interest in solar investments in the country. As a result, a new database for solar irradiation values depending on historical data is provided for Morocco. The results show the great existing variety of PDFs for the solar irradiation data at the different months and cities, which demonstrates the need for undertaking a proper characterization of the irradiation when the assessment of solar energy projects is involved. When it is simply needed to embed the radiation uncertainty in the analysis, as is the case of the techno-economic valuation of solar energy assets, the presented methodology can reach this objective with much less complexity and less demanding input data. Moreover, its application is not limited to solar resource assessment, but can also be easily used in other fields, such as meteorology and climate change studies. more
Author(s):
Ermida, Sofia L.; Trigo, Isabel F.
Publication title: Remote Sensing
2022
| Volume: 14 | Issue: 10
2022
Abstract:
Land surface temperature is linked to a wide range of surface processes. Given the increased development of earth observation systems, a large effort … Land surface temperature is linked to a wide range of surface processes. Given the increased development of earth observation systems, a large effort has been put into advancing land surface temperature retrieval algorithms from remote sensors. Due to the very limited number of reliable in situ observations matching the spatial scales of satellite observations, algorithm development relies on synthetic databases, which then constitute a crucial part of algorithm development. Here we provide a database of atmospheric profiles and respective surface conditions that can be used to train and verify algorithms for land surface temperature retrieval, including machine learning techniques. The database was built from ERA5 data resampled through a dissimilarity criterion applied to the temperature and specific humidity profiles. This criterion aims to obtain regular distributions of these variables, ensuring a good representation of all atmospheric conditions. The corresponding vertical profiles of ozone and relevant surface and vertically integrated variables are also included in the dataset. Information on the surface conditions (i.e., temperature and emissivity) was complemented with data from a wide array of satellite products, enabling a more realistic surface representation. The dataset is freely available online at Zenodo. more
Author(s):
Jonkheid, B. J.; Roebeling, R. A.; van Meijgaard, E.
Publication title: Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics
2012
| Volume: 12 | Issue: 22
2012
Abstract:
Abstract. The uncertainties in the cloud physical properties derived from satellite observations make it difficult to interpret model evaluation studi… Abstract. The uncertainties in the cloud physical properties derived from satellite observations make it difficult to interpret model evaluation studies. In this paper, the uncertainties in the cloud water path (CWP) retrievals derived with the cloud physical properties retrieval algorithm (CPP) of the climate monitoring satellite application facility (CM SAF) are investigated. To this end, a numerical simulator of MSG-SEVIRI observations has been developed that calculates the reflectances at 0.64 and 1.63 μm for a wide range of cloud parameter values, satellite viewing geometries and surface albedos using a plane-parallel radiative transfer model. The reflectances thus obtained are used as input to CPP, and the retrieved values of CWP are compared to the original input of the simulator. Cloud parameters considered in this paper refer to e.g. sub-pixel broken clouds and the simultaneous occurrence of ice and liquid water clouds within one pixel. These configurations are not represented in the CPP algorithm and as such the associated retrieval uncertainties are potentially substantial. It is shown that the CWP retrievals are very sensitive to the assumptions made in the CPP code. The CWP retrieval errors are generally small for unbroken single-layer clouds with COT > 10, with retrieval errors of ~3% for liquid water clouds to ~10% for ice clouds. In a multi-layer cloud, when both liquid water and ice clouds are present in a pixel, the CWP retrieval errors increase dramatically; depending on the cloud, this can lead to uncertainties of 40–80%. CWP retrievals also become more uncertain when the cloud does not cover the entire pixel, leading to errors of ~50% for cloud fractions of 0.75 and even larger errors for smaller cloud fractions. Thus, the satellite retrieval of cloud physical properties of broken clouds as well as multi-layer clouds is complicated by inherent difficulties, and the proper interpretation of such retrievals requires extra care. more